POLITICAL WIRE’S HEADLINES – 7/18

Trail Mix

Here are a few stories that I was unable to post over the last few days:

New York Observer: The New York Times says journalists cannot have political bumper stickers on their cars.

A new Time/Rockefeller Foundation poll shows 85% of Americans said the country is on the wrong track.

A new ABC News/Washington Post poll shows 69% of Americans now disapprove of President Bush’s performance, a record high in presidential approval polls since 1938.

Josh Goodman notes that the problems of Florida and Michigan during the Democratic primaries are long forgotten.

Datamar analysis of California primary results estimates that 18.8% of voters were Hispanic and they heavily favored the Democrats — 63% voted Democratic and only 20% voted Republican.

A new Reuters/Zogby poll shows Sen. Barack Obama continues to maintain his lead over Sen. John McCain, 47% to 40%, and is viewed as the candidate who could best manage the U.S. economy — even as nearly half of likely voters list the economy as their top election issue.

Time: “Donors, especially on the Democratic side, may be getting a little burned out. More than $1.04 billion was raised during the primaries for the 24 presidential aspirants from both parties.”

Michael Barone: “After comparing which 2008 presidential candidate has the lead state by state – then comparing that data to the last two elections – some of the results are very much out of line with the results in 2000 and 2004.”

According to Wired, Sen. John McCain has started to spider Sen. Barack Obama’s campaign website to track precise word changes up to an hourly basis.

The Evans-Novak Political Report says “the private Republican view is that the focus must be on Obama in the coming campaign for McCain to win. A positive campaign will lose, and the spotlight on Obama must be harsher for McCain to have a chance.”]

Signs Point to an Electoral Map Shift

Rhodes Cook: “One of the more intriguing questions of this 2008 presidential campaign is whether the virtually static electoral map of 2000 and 2004, with its bright red and blue shadings, will stay roughly the same or undergo dramatic rearrangement. If recent congressional elections are a guide, bet on the latter — and that’s a good sign for the Democrats.”

Obama Will Not Speak at Brandenburg Gate

Sen. Barack Obama will give a speech at the Victory Column in Berlin next week, “avoiding the Brandenburg Gate after a political spat broke out over plans to speak there,” according to Berliner Zeitung.

According to Bloomberg, “a stage will be set up at the column, a 19th-century fluted structure that lies at the opposite end of a tree-lined boulevard from the Brandenburg Gate… An appearance at the Victory Column, capped by its trademark gilded angel, will still give the Illinois senator the Brandenburg Gate as a backdrop in the distance. A political squabble erupted after Chancellor Angela Merkel expressed apprehension about the gate being used for electioneering.”

Cell Phones Not Skewing Polls

For a long time, pollster have wondered whether the increased use of cell phones over the last decade is skewing polling results and making them less reliable.

A new Pew Research poll finds that Sen. Barack Obama holds a 48% to 40% lead over Sen. John McCain in their national sample that includes cell phones, and a 46% to 41% advantage in the landline sample.

Furthermore, when the results are narrowed “to voters who are certain about their vote choice, there is almost no difference between the landline and combined samples: Obama has a 38%-28% advantage in the combined sample, while the margin is 38%-30% in the landline sample.”

Protests Planned in Denver

“Dozens of protest groups are planning a full schedule of classes, concerts, marches and other actions during the Democratic National Convention, hoping to capture the world’s attention and recruit new activists,” according to the Rocky Mountain News.

“They are both energized and organized, and most insist they are not looking for trouble.”

The groups will also post videos of their protests to show people an “unfiltered” view of the action outside the convention center.

Is Obama Too Consistent on Iraq?

CQ Politics has an interesting take on Sen. Barack Obama’s Iraq position: “It may be Barack Obama ‘s consistency on Iraq policy, not the charge of flip-flopping, that puts him in the greatest political peril.”

GOP Lags Democrats in Building Netroots

The Wall Street Journal: “From online fundraising to attracting Facebook friends, Republican candidates are having a dismal year compared with their Democratic rivals.”

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