Obama Running Ahead of Kerry in 41 States

Josh Goodman compares state polling in the presidential race to the results of the 2004 election and finds that Sen. John McCain “is only running ahead of Bush’s 2004 result in four states.” Meanwhile, Sen. Barack Obama “is doing at least 2.46 percentage points better than Kerry in 41 states. In 2004, 2.46 was Bush’s margin of victory in the national popular vote.”

Most interesting fact: “Every single one of Obama’s 12 strongest states when compared to Kerry has an African-American population that is below the national average of 12.4%. This group includes four states — Montana, Idaho, South Dakota and Wyoming — that have the four lowest black populations in the country.”

PPP Poll: Obama Still Ahead in Colorado

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Colorado shows Sen. Barack Obama maintaining a small lead over Sen. John McCain, 48% to 44%. 

Analysis: “The key for Obama is that he has held McCain to a one or two point lead among white voters in each of the polls. If he is able to do that in November he will take the state easily because of his dominance with the state’s Hispanic voters, with whom he leads 51-36.”

Did McCain Plagiarize His Speech Today?

Political Insider: Sen. John McCain’s speech today on the Georgia crisis has many similarities to a Wikipedia article. 

Economist Poll: Obama Holds Small Lead

The latest Economist/YouGov poll shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain nationally by just three points, 42% to 39%.

SurveyUSA: Virginia Still Deadlocked

A new SurveyUSA poll in Virginia shows Sen. John McCain barely edging Sen. Barack Obama, 48% to 47%.

Key findings: McCain holds 89% of the GOP base. Obama holds 86% of the Democrat base. Independents break 5:4 for McCain. Moderates break 3:2 for Obama. Obama leads slightly among those who have graduated college. McCain leads slightly among those who have not. McCain leads among those who attend religious services regularly. Obama leads among those who rarely go to church. McCain leads 2:1 among Pro-Life voters. Obama leads 2:1 among Pro-Choice voters.

Meanwhile, in the U.S. Senate race, Mark Warner (D) crushes Jim Gilmore (R), 58% to 34%.

Veep Buzz

Political Insider: A round up of the latest news, buzz and speculation from the veepstakes.

Obama Book Coming Soon

Barack Obama's Plan to Renew America's PromiseIn just about a month — and without any leaks — Washington superlawer and book agent Robert Barnett brokered an interesting book deal for Sen. Barack Obama that will turn the nation’s bookstores into yet another advertising outlet for the Illinois senator’s presidential campaign.

All profits from the book will go to a yet-to-be-determined charity, with none being retained by either Obama or his campaign.

Political Books has more details.

Obama Hits Back on McCain’s Celebrity

Sen. Barack Obama calls Sen. John McCain a “Washington celebrity” in an effective new television spot.

The 30-second ad uses scenes of McCain on shows like Saturday Night Live andThe View then says he’s influenced by special interests and backs the same policies as President Bush.

Edwards Lie Cost Clinton Nomination

Sen. Hillary Clinton “would be the Democratic presidential nominee if John Edwards had been caught in his lie about an extramarital affair and forced out of the race last year,” insists Clinton aide Howard Wolfson, ABC News reports.

Said Wolfson: “I believe we would have won Iowa, and Clinton today would therefore have been the nominee.”

Political Insider: Why the Edwards affair matters.

McCain Empties His Coffers

Sen. Barack Obama may be outspent this month by Sen. John McCain, “who has accepted federal campaign funding and is required to empty his treasury before his party’s Sept. 1-4 nominating convention in Minneapolis,” according to Bloomberg.

“Yet in the general-election season, which begins after the conventions, McCain will have to limit his spending to the $84.1 million in federal funds. Obama has decided not to accept those funds and may have two to three times more money to spend.”

McCain Visit to Pennsylvania Starts VP Buzz Again

As the New York Times notes Sen. John McCain gets the campaign trail to himself with Sen. Barack Obama on vacation. McCain will start the week campaigning through Pennsylvania with the state’s former Gov. Tom Ridge at his side. 

CNN notes that anytime McCain “appears with someone that might be on his vice presidential shortlist, it stirs up a whole new round of speculation. And as Pennsylvania is a key battleground state, Ridge is getting plenty of attention.”

NJ-3 Now Rated Toss Up

A bruising Republican primary in NJ-3 has placed the GOP in greater jeopardy of losing the seat to Democrats this fall, according to CQ Politics

The race is now rated a Toss Up.

Explore posts in the same categories: Candidates, National, Politics, Virginia

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )


Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: