Obama Leads McCain Among Christians

A new Barna Group poll finds Sen. Barack Obama maintains a nine point lead over Sen. John McCain among Christians, 43% to 34%.

Key finding: “Of the 18 faith groups identified in the polls, McCain is only leading among evangelicals and it’s a narrow lead. Obama leads among the other 17 faith groups identified including the born again vote. Barna notes that would mark the first time in more than two decades that the born again vote has swung toward the Democratic candidate.”

Complete survey results are available.

SurveyUSA: Kentucky Seems Safe for Republicans

A new SurveyUSA poll in Kentucky shows Sen. John McCain way out in front of Sen. Barack Obama, 55% to 37%.

Key findings: Compared to the poll eight weeks ago, McCain is up 2 points; Obama is down 4. Then, McCain led by 16 points among men; today, he leads by 24. Then, McCain led by 8 points among women; today, he leads by 13. There is little or no change in partisan breakdowns over the past eight weeks: McCain today takes 86% of Republican votes; Obama takes 59% of Democratic votes; Independents favor McCain by 5 points.

Meanwhile, Sen. Mitch McConnell’s (R-KY) re-election seems safe as he leads challenger Bruce Lundsford (D), 52% to 40%.

Hays Research: Obama Leads in Alaska

A new Hays Research (D) survey in Alaska shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain, 45% to 40%.

The poll has a margin of error of 4.9%.

Investigating Clinton’s Fall

The following guest post is from Joshua Green, a senior editor at The Atlantic and author of the article everyone is talking about today.

One thing political junkies always want to know — and rarely get a chance to find out — is how major decisions in presidential campaigns are made. If you’re like me, you constantly wonder, “Why the hell’d they do that?” I found myself wondering that more frequently during Hillary Clinton’s campaign than any in a long time. 

So I set out earlier this summer to see if I could find an answer. Post-campaign assessments — though usually a great read — always strike me as slightly unsatisfactory. They’re justification-after-the-fact for whatever went right or wrong. And they tend to reflect the points of view of whoever on the campaign is tightest with the reporter and will to talk. In a sense, the spin you’ve seen in front of the cameras merely moves backstage for the final act. In order to overcome that problem, I tried to obtain as much contemporaneous material as I could — memos, emails, letters. And in the resulting Atlantic piece, I tried to rely on them as much as I could — and less on the traditional blind quotes and revisionism that often form the basis for such pieces.

Obama Did Register for the Selective Service

Pajamas Media swats down the rumor circulating on the Internet for months that Sen. Barack Obama did not fulfill his Selective Service obligation. It turns how he registered at a post office in Hawaii on September 4, 1980.

“It is difficult to determine why no one had confirmed Obama’s Selective Service registration until now.”

As Long as You’re Waiting

How will the 80,000 people waiting in line to hear Sen. Barack Obama accept the Democratic nomination pass the time?

Marc Ambinder on the Obama campaign’s novel idea: “They’re drafting a plan to pass out thousands of cell phones, and with them, lists of persuadable voters from their database along with their home telephone numbers.  The idea is to encourage the line-waiters to use their time productively and in service to the cause. One giant phone bank, in other words, waiting to pass through the mag lines.” 

McCain Campaign Denies Plagiarism

Sen. John McCain’s campaign is denying our suggestion yesterday “that the candidate’s lengthy response yesterday to the crisis in Georgia was lifted in part from Wikipedia,” according to Jonathan Martin.

McCain aides said “that there are only so many ways to state basic historical facts and dates and that any similarities to Wikipedia were only coincidental.  But they wouldn’t say outright that it wasn’t consulted.”

Quote of the Day

“Nobody likes a funeral.”

— A Senate Republican press secretary who spoke to Politico on the condition of anonymity, citing “the overall climate of general malaise about the party” as the reason many Republican lawmakers are skipping the GOP convention.

Reid’s Re-Election Strategy is All About Nevada

Although he’s become a darling of Democrats nationally, Politico notes that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) is quietly launching a “lessons learned from Tom Daschle” strategy as he eyes his own run for reelection in 2010.

According to consultant Susan McCue: “His 2010 strategy is Nevada, Nevada, Nevada. It’s daily outreach to Nevada on every level.”

Favorite Songs of the Candidates

Blender magazine asked the presidential candidates to name their top ten favorite songs. 

Sen. Barack Obama 
1. Ready or Not Fugees 
2. What’s Going On Marvin Gaye 
3. I’m On Fire Bruce Springsteen 
4. Gimme Shelter Rolling Stones 
5. Sinnerman Nina Simone 
6. Touch the Sky Kanye West 
7. You’d Be So Easy to Love Frank Sinatra 
8. Think Aretha Franklin 
9. City of Blinding Lights U2 
10. Yes We Can will.i.am 

Sen. John McCain 
1. Dancing Queen ABBA 
2. Blue Bayou Roy Orbison 
3. Take a Chance On Me ABBA 
4. If We Make It Through December Merle Haggard 
5. As Time Goes By Dooley Wilson 
6. Good Vibrations The Beach Boys 
7. What A Wonderful World Louis Armstrong 
8. I’ve Got You Under My Skin Frank Sinatra 
9. Sweet Caroline Neil Diamond 
10. Smoke Gets In Your Eyes The Platters

Republican Leach Backs Obama

Former Iowa Rep. Jim Leach (R-IA) will be endorsing Sen. Barack Obama this morning, according to Radio Iowa.

“Leach, as you may recall, lost his bid for re-election in 2006 after three decades representing portions of eastern Iowa in congress.  Leach was considered a “moderate” Republican and was a backer of campaign finance reform.  Leach did not accept campaign contributions from political action committees.”

On an Obama conference call this morning, Leach will be joined by other Republicans who are backing the Illinois senator.

Corzine Faces Tough Re-Election Bid Next Year

Looking ahead to next year’s race for Governor in New Jersey, a new Quinnipiac pollfinds Gov. Jon Corzine, who has been “plagued by ongoing budget problems,” now locked in a dead heat with federal prosecutor Christopher Christie (R). Christie edges Corzine, 41% to 40%.

Key factor: Only 32% of voters are “very satisfied” or “somewhat satisfied” with the way things are going in New Jersey, while 67% are “somewhat dissatisfied” or “very dissatisfied.” This dissatisfaction rate has been in the 2-1 range for more than two years.

Big Primary Day in Colorado

CQ Politics: “Colorado’s primary election on Tuesday will effectively select two members of the next Congress, set up two highly competitive races in November and also determine the fate of a freshman Republican incumbent who faces a serious intraparty challenge.”

A Case of Plagiarism

At least two political science professors — Steven Taylor and Mark Kleiman — are convinced by my earlier post that Sen. John McCain used plagiarized lines from Wikipedia in his speech on the Russia-Georgia crisis today. 

These are just some of the dozens and dozens of reactions on this story today. It was also mentioned by Keith Olbermann on Countdown tonight (about three minutes into this clip).

How Clinton Lost

Today’s must-read piece is from Josh Green

“Hillary Clinton’s campaign was undone by a clash of personalities more toxic than anyone imagined. E-mails and memos — published here for the first time — reveal the backstabbing and conflicting strategies that produced an epic meltdown.”

The memos which were the basis of the article are also all online.

Explore posts in the same categories: Candidates, National, Politics

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