SurveyUSA: Obama Opens Wide Lead in Iowa

A new SurveyUSA poll in Iowa shows Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain by 11 points, 54% to 43%. 

Key findings: “Among women, Obama leads by 20 points; among men, Obama and McCain tie. Among voters younger than Barack Obama, Obama leads by 15. Among voters older than John McCain, Obama leads by 9. Among voters who are in-between the two candidates’ ages, Obama leads by 7. Among white voters — 95% of Iowa’s likely voters — Obama leads by 8 points. 11% of Republicans cross over to vote for Obama; 8% of Democrats cross over to vote for McCain; Independents break for Obama by 9 points.”


Palin’s Favorability Ratings Tumble

Gov. Sarah Palin’s favorable/unfavorable ratings have suffered a stunning 21 point collapse in just one week, according to Research 2000 polling. Last week, 52% approved and 35% disapproved of the GOP vice presidential nominee (+17 net). This week, 42% approved and 46% disapprove (-4 net). 

Earlier this week, Newsweek also saw the drop in other polling. “Over the course of a single weekend… Palin went from being the most popular White House hopeful to the least.”

Political Insider: Why Palin was ultimately a bad pick for McCain.

Marist: Ohio Tied, Obama Leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania

New polls from Marist College in three key battleground states:

Ohio: Obama 44%, McCain 44%

Michigan: Obama 50%, McCain 41%

Pennsylvania: Obama 45%, McCain 42%

Welch Wins Both Party Nominations in Vermont

Rep. Peter Welch (D-VT) won the Democratic congressional nomination last week — and also won the Republican nomination because he “received enough write-in votes on Republican ballots to secure the nomination of a party that didn’t put up a candidate of its own,” the Barre Montpelier Times-Argus reports.

ARG Poll: McCain Ahead in Indiana

Several new American Research Group polls are out this morning:

Indiana: McCain 47%, Obama 44%

Key findings: “82% of Democrats say they would vote for Obama and 79% of Republicans say they would vote for McCain. McCain leads Obama 50% to 37% among independents. Indiana is the only state out of 30 states surveyed by ARG where McCain leads in the ballot when his share of the Republican vote is less than Obama’s share of the Democratic vote. Also, 37% of likely voters say they would never vote for McCain, compared to 33% of likely voters saying they would never voter for Obama.”

North Dakota: McCain 52%, Obama 43%

Washington: Obama 50%, McCain 44%

Two Thirds of Households Watched Conventions

Nielsen reviews viewership data from the national political conventions and draws several interesting conclusions:

  • Nearly two thirds of all U.S. households (64.5% or 73.2 million homes) tuned into at least one of the 2008 political conventions. This is about 120.1 million people. Viewership levels for the two conventions were essentially tied, with about half of all households watching each one.
  • 15.0% of all households tuned to just the RNC, and 15.7% tuned to just the DNC. Another 33.9% of all households tuned to both conventions.
  • Homes that watched both conventions were more likely to be headed by someone 65 years or older. They also completed the most formal education: nearly one-third (32.3%) graduated from college. Those watching only one convention were fairly comparable on both education and HOH age, within a point or two.
  • Homes that only tuned to the RNC were more likely to have higher incomes ($100K+), to have a larger household size (4+), to be white, to own a DVR, and to have a head of household with higher education (4+ yrs college) and aged 35-54.
  • Homes that only tuned in to the DNC were more likely to have a lower income (<20K), to have a smaller household size (2), to be African American, and to have a head of household who is younger (<35) and who has less education (1-3 Yrs College)

Begich Runs Ahead in Alaska Senate Race

According to a new poll by Research 2000, Mark Begich (D) now leads Sen. Ted Stevens (R-AK) by 6 points, 50% to 44% in the Alaska U.S. Senate race.  

Begich has grown his lead since July, when he led 47% to 45% in the same poll.

Up To $1 Trillion Needed to Prevent Meltdown

“Congressional leaders said after meeting Thursday evening with Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke that as much as $1 trillion could be needed to avoid an imminent meltdown of the U.S. financial system,” according to Politico.

According to Sen. Christopher Dodd, lawmakers were told last night “that we’re literally maybe days away from a complete meltdown of our financial system, with all the implications, here at home and globally.”

Strategic Vision: Tight Races in New Jersey, Washington

Two new Strategic Vision poll shows a couple of typically Democratic states much closer than expected.

New Jersey: Obama 47%, McCain 43%

Washington: Obama 47%, McCain 42%

Quote of the Day

“It’s hard to prepare because I don’t know what she thinks.”

— Sen. Joe Biden, in an interview to air on CBS News tonight, on how he’s getting ready to debate Gov. Sarah Palin next month.

IA Poll: Obama Leads in Colorado, McCain Ahead in Virginia

A couple of interesting new InsiderAdvantage polls in key battleground states are out this morning:

Colorado: Obama 51%, McCain 41%

Virginia: McCain 48%, Obama 46%

Obama Pounds McCain on Economy

Sen. Barack Obama hammers Sen. John McCain in a very effective new ad on the economy. 

Featured cast: Carly Fiorina, Phil Gramm and George Bush.

Portland Tribune: Obama Holds Double Digit Lead in Oregon

A new Portland Tribune poll in Oregon finds Sen Barack Obama leads Sen. John McCain, 50% to 40% among registered voters. 

Obama retains equally strong support among male and female voters.

Said pollster Tim Hibbitts: “I do not believe that Oregon is going to be a battleground state this year.”

Explore posts in the same categories: Candidates, National, Politics, Virginia

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