POLITICAL WIRE’S HEADLINES – 10/8

Schumer Thinks 60 Seats Possible

Sen Chuck Schumer, head of the Senate Democratic campaign effort, sees Alaska, Colorado, Minnesota, New Hampshire, New Mexico, Oregon and Virginia as likely pick ups for his party, NBC News reports. 

In addition, he sees Maine, Kentucky, Georgia, North Carolina, and Mississippi within reach.

“Although he refused to guess how many seats the Democrats will pick up, his stats and shrugs indicated that the prospect of the Democrats becoming a filibuster proof 60-vote majority is not outside the realm of possibility. He called the chances of such a scenario ‘better than they were two weeks ago.'”

Quote of the Day

“My fellow prisoners.”

— Sen. John McCain, in a speech earlier today. He was not speaking at a prison.

Tracking Polls Diverge

The Gallup tracking poll shows Sen. Barack Obama taking an 11 point lead — his biggest lead to date — over Sen. John McCain, 52% to 41%.

However, the Diageo/Hotline poll shows Obama’s lead shrinking to just one point, 45% to 44%.

For what it’s worth, Rasmussen has Obama ahead by six points and Research 2000has Obama leading by 10 points.

42% of Households Watched Debate

Nielsen says the overall rating for last night’s presidential debate was 42.1, compared to 34.7 for the first debate. One rating point equals 1% of the total TV audience in a given market.

In contrast, the vice presidential debate earned a rating of 45.0.

Ad Spending Continues to Grow

The Wisconsin Advertising Project reports that Sen. John McCain and Sen. Barack Obama spent over $28 million on television advertising over the last week — $17.5 million for Obama, $11 million for McCain and the RNC.

All of McCain’s advertising was negative as compared to about a third of Obama’s ads.

table2.jpgNotes project director Ken Goldstein: “Ten of the fifteen states where both candidates are advertising were won by Bush in the 2004 election. The campaign is being played on the Republican side of the field this year.”

Obama Gets Surge of Donors

How is Sen. Barack Obama dramatically outspending Sen. John McCain?

First Read: “Interviewed on MSNBC, Obama strategist David Axelrod revealed that 4 million individuals have now donated to the Obama camp. That’s up from 2.5 million last month, meaning — if our math is correct — that 1.5 million new people gave money to Obama. So how big will Obama’s September fundraising haul be? It looks like it might be BIG. Will it top the 100-million mark? (1.5 million new donors at 100 a pop… Well, you get the math.)”

Debate Moves Undecided Voters

Democracy Corps had a focus group of undecided voters in Nevada watch last night’s debate:

“Unlike the first debate, when Democracy Corps research showed half the voters remaining undecided and the two candidates splitting the other half, the vote following the second debate showed a decisive shift toward Senator Obama. This debate was a clear victory for Obama who made major gains not just in the vote but also on personal favorability and key attributes like ‘has what it takes to be President,’ which ultimately drove undecided voters into his column.”

In addition, Fox News and CNN focus groups of uncommitted voters also said Obama won.

Mason-Dixon: Obama Ahead in Florida

Sen. Barack Obama leads Sen. John McCain by two-points in Florida, 48% to 46%, according to a new Mason-Dixon poll

Said pollster Brad Coker: “The key to Florida remains the Tampa Bay region, where Obama currently holds a 48%-44% advantage.  The other regions of the state fall into their generally predictable patterns, with Obama holding a wide 61%-33% lead in Southeast Florida and McCain running ahead in North Florida (58%-37%), Central Florida (51%-43%) and Southwest Florida (55%-40%).”

Off the Tracks

Gallup finds that only 9% of Americans are satisfied with the way things are going in the United States — the lowest such reading in Gallup Poll history.

Debate Recap

If you missed last night’s presidential debate — which most viewers felt Sen. Barack Obama won — CQ Politics has the “bests and mosts.”

transcript is also available.

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Explore posts in the same categories: Candidates, National, Politics

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