PPP Poll: Obama Grabs Lead in Missouri

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Missouri shows Sen. Barack Obama has taken a small lead over Sen. John McCain, 48% to 46%.

Key finding: “A big trend between the two polls is increased Democratic unity in the state. Over the summer Obama was winning just 78-15 among voters in his own party. That’s now up to 89-7. Obama has also cut down significantly on John McCain’s margin with white voters. What was a 56-35 lead for the Republican with that group is now down to 52-42.”

Recent polls from Rasmussen and SurveyUSA also show Obama with a lead in the state.

NYT/CBS Poll: Record Number See America Off Track

“In the face of economic upheaval in the United States, a record 89% of Americans now say the country has pretty seriously gotten off on the wrong track while just 7% of Americans say the country is going in the right direction,” according to the latestNew York Times/CBS News Poll.

McCain Transition Chief Aided Saddam Lobbying Effort

Murray Waas: “William Timmons, the Washington lobbyist who John McCain has named to head his presidential transition team, aided an influence effort on behalf of Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein to ease international sanctions against his regime.”

“The two lobbyists who Timmons worked closely with over a five year period on the lobbying campaign later either pleaded guilty to or were convicted of federal criminal charges that they had acted as unregistered agents of Saddam Hussein’s government.”

Quote of the Day

“…to paraphrase Ronald Reagan, I didn’t leave the Republican Party, the Republican Party left me.”

— Christopher Buckley, author and son of late conservative icon William F. Buckley, in a phone interview with the Austin American-Statesman.

In a piece for the Daily Beast, Buckley explains how he was fired from the National Review, the magazine his father founded, for endorsing Sen. Barack Obama for president.

Democracy Corps: Independent Voters Move to Obama

The latest Democracy Corps survey shows Sen. Barack Obama holding a double-digit national lead over Sen. John McCain, 50% to 40%.

Key finding: “Obama’s double-digit electoral advantage is built on his surge among independent voters. In this survey, Obama edged McCain among independents by 14 points (47 to 33 percent) – his biggest margin since the beginning of the campaign. His advantage emerged as more independent voters moved away from McCain to support Bob Barr and some to support Ralph Nader.”

Other national polls:

PPP Poll: Obama Maintains Small Lead in North Carolina

A new Public Policy Polling survey in North Carolina shows Sen. Barack Obama edging Sen. John McCain, 49% to 46%.

Obama led by six points last week.

“The McCain campaign has just recently started to really contest the race here, with the candidate making his first appearance in the state in five months yesterday. He has also ratcheted up his advertising, which seems to be having a mixed effect on his poll numbers. Independents, who may be turned off by the negativity of his campaign, have moved more toward Obama in the last week. What was a 46-40 lead with them is now a 52-37 advantage for the Democrat.”

McCain Pledges to Bring Up Ayers in Debate

It appears Sen. John McCain will take Sen. Barack Obama up on his challenge.

In an interview on a St. Louis radio station, McCain said Obama’s comments that “I didn’t have the guts” to talk about William Ayers in the last presidential debate have “probably ensured” that the former 1960s radical will come up in Wednesday’s debate.

SurveyUSA: Obama Ahead in Ohio, Pennsylvania

Two new SurveyUSA polls show Sen. Barack Obama leading Sen. John McCain in two more battleground states.

Ohio: Obama 50%, McCain 45%

Pennsylvania: Obama 55%, McCain 40%

Senate Watch

First Read rates the U.S. Senate races:

“In the Likely Dem category, we have Virginia and New Mexico. In the Competitive Leaning Dem category, we have Colorado, New Hampshire, Alaska, North Carolina, and Oregon. In the First Landslide Wave Watch, we have Minnesota and Mississippi. And in the Second Landslide Wave Watch, we have Georgia, Kentucky, and Maine (barely). The GOP’s only pick-up opportunity: Louisiana.”

Meanwhile, CQ Politics is projecting 54 Democrats, 40 Republicans, 2 Independents, and 4 seats are a toss up.

InsiderAdvantage: Obama Leads in Key Bush Counties

Sen. Barack Obama “has erased traditional Republican advantages in four key bellwether counties that President George W. Bush won in 2000 and 2004, according to a new Politico/InsiderAdvantage survey.”

Washoe County, NV: Obama 46%, McCain 45%

Wake County, NC: Obama 50%, McCain 44%

Hillsborough County, FL: Obama 47%, McCain 41%

Jefferson County, CO: McCain 45%, Obama 43%

“These four counties are crucial battlegrounds in four of the most competitive states in the presidential race. In recent years, the Republican path to the White House has run through these areas.”

Obama Advertising in Video Games

GigaOm confirms that an “Obama for President” billboard in the Xbox 360 racing game Burnout Paradise is, in fact, an official advertisement placed by the senator’s campaign.

Clinton Not Interested in Supreme Court

In an interview on Fox News, Sen. Hillary Clinton says the odds of her taking a seat on the Supreme Court are “zero” adding, “I have no interest in doing that.”

She also says odds of her being Senate Majority Leader are “probably zero,” and running for president are “probably close to zero.”


Quinnipiac: Obama Pulls Away in Battleground

“Boosted by the economic crisis and a strong debate performance,” Sen. Barack Obama is over the 50% mark in the key battleground states of Colorado, Michigan, Minnesota and Wisconsin, “and for the first time leads or ties Sen. John McCain among white voters in all four states,” according to four simultaneous Quinnipiac polls

Colorado: Obama 52%, McCain 43%

Michigan: Obama 54%, McCain 38%

Minnesota: Obama 51%, McCain 40%

Wisconsin: Obama 54%, McCain 37%

Said pollster Peter Brown: “Sen. Obama’s leads in these four battleground states are as large as they have been the entire campaign. Those margins may be insurmountable barring a reversal that has never been seen before in the modern era in which polling monitors public opinion throughout the campaign.”

McCain Campaign Exaggerates Crowd Size

WVEC-TV: “The Virginia Beach Fire Marshal’s office estimated the size of the crowd to be 12,000. A McCain campaign spokeswoman claimed the crowd size was 25,000, but the Convention Center’s capacity is only 16,000.

Explore posts in the same categories: Candidates, National, Politics, Virginia

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