The New Partisan Voting Index

Charlie Cook released the lastest Partisan Voting Index (PVI) based on results from last fall’s elections. The index is an attempt to find an objective measurement of each congressional district that allows comparisons between states and districts.

For instance, this chart ranks each congressional district from the most Republican (Spencer Bachus’s AL-06 at R+29) to the most Democratic (Jose Serrano’s NY-16 at D+41).

Key finding from the re-crunched data: There are far fewer swing districts today than there were in the 1990s and Democrats now hold most of them — 34 of the 50 most potentially competitive districts (those that fall in the R+2 to D+2 category).

Murphy Expands Lead in NY-20

In the NY-20 special election, the latest update shows Scott Murphy’s (D) lead is now 46 votes over Jim Tedisco (R). 

The counties that still haven’t counted their absentee ballots: Warren and Washington, which Murphy won, and Saratoga, which Tedisco won.

A Better Name for a Tax Protest?

Rachel Maddow is merciless in mocking Republican tax protests on her MSNBC show. She can barely contain her own laughter.

Good News, Bad News for Democrats in 2010

Looking ahead to the 2010 midterm elections, Charlie Cook notes that Democrats are in a good news/bad news situation. 

“The good news for them is that the Republican Party still has horrific ratings — 31 percent favorable, 58 percent unfavorable in the CBS/Times poll, compared with 56 percent favorable, 34 percent unfavorable for Democrats. And nothing the GOP is saying or doing is helping its cause.”

“The bad news for Democrats is that midterm elections are rarely a referendum on the party out of power.”

Quote of the Day

“I hate to say this, but he’s a serial exaggerator. If I was being unkind I would say liar. But it is a habit he ought to drop.”

— Karl Rove, in an interview on Fox News, blasting Vice President Biden who said he had a private meeting with President Bush in the Oval Office.

Lead Switches Again in NY-20

In the latest installment of the NY-20 election saga, Scott Murphy (D) has a 34 vote lead over Jim Tedisco (R), according to the Albany Times Union

This tally combines the latest count from the State Board of Elections (which has Murphy up by 8 points) and a newer tally from Essex County.

Still to come: “The Saratoga County BOE, by far the largest county in the district, isn’t releasing any new numbers until the process if finished. Washington County isn’t expected to start their paper ballot count until Monday.”

GOP Stimulus Backlash Collides with Reality

Politico notes the governors “threatening to decline federal stimulus money last month read like a list of Republicans considering running for president in 2012:” Governors Mark Sanford, Bobby Jindal and Sarah Palin.

“But what began with a bang is ending with something closer to a whimper. All three of those governors have been forced to scale back their expectations, to varying degree, as the push of conservative philosophy gave way to the pull of political reality.”

“All three found that praise from the conservative movement in Washington meant nothing to furious state legislators of both parties. And in the end, along with other conservative Republican governors, the three submitted letters in recent days asking to be eligible for federal funds.”

McCain’s Daughter Gets Book Deal

The New York Observer reports Meghan McCain, the daughter of Sen. John McCain (R-AZ), just signed a book deal with an advance in the “high six figures.”

“Sources say Hyperion has prevailed over at least three other publishers in an auction that began earlier this week, following a round of meetings during which the in-your-face young conservative and the literary agent she shares with her father, Sterling Lord Literistic president Flip Brophy, discussed a number of possible approaches to the book with editors around town.”

Though Ms. McCain has done many television interviews, she’s been unwilling to talk about her father’s running mate, Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin. Perhaps she will give her opinions on Palin in the book.

Explore posts in the same categories: National, Politics

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