POLITICAL WIRE’S HEADLINES – 11/5

Crist Claims He Never Backed Economic Stimulus

“It’s getting harder every day and we know that it’s important that we pass this stimulus package.”

— Florida Gov. Charlie Crist (R), at a rally with President Obama on February 10, 2009.

“I didn’t endorse it. I didn’t even have a vote on the darned thing.”

— Crist, in a CNN interview yesterday.

 

Bonus Quote of the Day

“We’ll come after you.”

— RNC Chairman Michael Steele, in an interview on Top Line, warning Republicans who support President Obama on economic stimulus or health care.

 

Dueling Town Halls

In response to the RNC’s twelve hour online town hall to “explain the democratic health care bill,” DNC Press Secretary Hari Sevugan issued the following statement:

“We’re planning a twelve second town hall to explain every last detail of the GOP health care plan.”

 

Democrats Lead Congressional Ballot

With a year until the midterm elections, a new by Ipsos/McClatchy poll finds Democrats leading Republicans in the generic congressional ballot, 48% to 41% with 6% undecided.

Democrats lead even though 68% disapprove of the job the current Congress is doing while 29% approve.

Caveat: The survey included all adults and not just likely voters.

 

Avoiding Daschle’s Fate

Chuck Raasch reports that Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) has literally read the book on the last Senate leader to go down to defeat in his re-election campaign.

The book is Daschle vs. Thune: Anatomy of a High-Plains Senate Race but Raasch notes, “although there are similarities between Daschle’s experience then and Reid’s position now, there are key differences that argue that while Reid may be down, don’t yet count him out.”

 

Whitman Opens Up Lead in California Primary

Meg Whitman (R) has a wide lead in California’s Republican primary race for governor, according to the latest Capitol Weekly/Probolsky Research poll.

“About a third of Republicans and decline-to-state voters who said they intend to vote Republican said they favor Whitman, who has a 3-to-1 edge over rival contender Tom Campbell (R), Insurance Commissioner Steve Poizner (R) remains stuck in a distant third, with 5.5 percent of Republican support.”

On the Democratic side, Jerry Brown (D) held a huge lead over Gavin Newson (D), 43% to 18%, who dropped out of the race last week.

 

Voter Turnout Way Down

Larry Sabato: “Turnout played a huge role in the outcomes in both NJ and VA, with Republicans showing up in droves and Democrats going fishing, at least to some degree. In Virginia, one result of absentee Democrats was the lowest voter turnout for a gubernatorial election in the state’s modern two-party history (1969 to 2009). The 2009 turnout of 39.8 percent of the registered voters was the lowest in forty years. Even with all the population growth since 2005, the absolute voter turnout in 2009 (1.97 million) fell below that of four years ago (2.0 million). And the electorate was barely more than half that of 2008 (3.7 million). Astounding.”

 

Quote of the Day

“I can tell you right now, if we don’t pass this bill, I don’t care who you are; if you have a D behind your name and this bill has not been passed, you are in tremendous peril next year.”

— House Majority Whip Jim Clyburn (D-SC), talking with Politico about the health care reform bill.

 

Nationalizing the Midterm Elections

First Read: “In Axelrod’s interview with one of us, he talked about the Democrats’ turnout problem on Tuesday, and he claimed that if they nationalize 2010, they won’t have that problem. Translation: The White House is going to take a page from the 2002 White House playbook, which is to nationalize the midterms and try and do it on your terms. The downside of trying to AVOID nationalizing 2010 is what happened in Virginia — the base doesn’t show up, etc. So if the White House wants to minimize losses in 2010, then it has to get as many of their 2008 voters to the polls. And that means the president has to be front and center. Axelrod made that crystal clear in his interview.”

 

New Hampshire May Reconsider Gay Marriage

“Now that gay marriage has been defeated in Maine, attention again shifts to New Hampshire, where lawmakers say momentum from Tuesday’s vote may fuel legislation to repeal the state’s law and give voters a say,” reports Foster’s Daily Democrat.

“Two proposals are being drafted in the N.H. House: One would repeal the law Gov. John Lynch signed in June and re-establish civil unions; the other is a constitutional amendment that would charge voters with deciding if ‘the state shall only recognize the union of one man and one woman as marriage.'”

 

Paul, Mongiardo Lead in Kentucky

A new SurveyUSA poll in Kentucky finds Rand Paul (R) leading Trey Grayson (R) in their Republican primary match up for U.S. Senate, 35% to 32%.

In a Democratic primary, Dan Mongiardo (D) leads Jack Conway (D), 39% to 28%.

Meanwhile, a Benenson Strategy Group (D) poll conducted for Conway also shows Mongiardo ahead in the Democratic race, 40% to 37%.

 

Huckabee Most Excites Republicans for 2012

Gallup: “Looking ahead to the 2012 presidential election, 71% of Republicans say they would seriously consider voting for Mike Huckabee. This gives Huckabee a slight edge over Mitt Romney (65%) and Sarah Palin (65%) in this early test of the strength of several potential Republican contenders. A majority of Republicans also say they would seriously consider voting for Newt Gingrich, but far fewer say they are currently ready to support the lesser-known Tim Pawlenty or Haley Barbour.”

 

O’Malley Could Face Trouble in Re-Election Bid

A new Clarus Poll in Maryland finds just 39% of voters want to see Gov. Martin O’Malley (D) re-elected with 48% seeking someone new as their governor.

O’Malley’s job approval rating is just 48% with 40% disapproving.

However, in a trial heat against former Gov. Bob Ehrlich (R), O’Malley leads by a 47% to 40% margin. (In the 2006 election, O’Malley won by a 53% to 46% margin.)

Said pollster Ron Faucheux: “O’Malley faces two major problems that are dragging him down. First, his issue ratings are lackluster, especially on economic and fiscal matters. Second, he’s polling only 34 percent of independents against Ehrlich. In the 2006 election, he received 47 percent of independents. That’s a big drop, one that represents opportunity for a 2010 challenger.”

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Explore posts in the same categories: Candidates, National, Politics, Virginia

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