Tale of Two Polls

Patrick Appel notes that while a new PPP poll found Sarah Palin in a dead heat with President Obama in a hypothetical 2012 match up, a new Time Poll shows the president leading by 21 points, 55% to 34%.

Why This Isn’t 1994

The DNC released a memo that says predictions of a Republican “wave” is misreading history.

Greg Sargent has the short version: “Obama is more popular than Clinton was in 1994; the GOP has not capitalized on Dem travails to repair its brand; and Dems are persuading voters to see this fall’s contests as a choice between two governing philosophies.”

The Early Line on 2012

With roughly 18 months to go until the Iowa caucuses, Politico neatly handicaps the 2012 Republican presidential field: “Mitt Romney is the traditional front-runner, Sarah Palin is a not-so-traditional force, and Tim Pawlenty is the early bird. As for Newt Gingrich and Mike Huckabee, they want to stay in the conversation.”

Meanwhile, a new Gallup poll finds Palin “is the best known and most positively rated” of five possible contenders for the GOP presidential nomination.

Sorkin to Direct John Edwards Film

Aaron Sorkin — best known for creating The West Wing — will make his feature directorial debut with a John Edwards biopic adapting Andrew Young’s The Politician: An Insider’s Account of John Edwards’s Pursuit of the Presidency and the Scandal That Brought Him Down.

Sorkin talks to Variety: “This is a first-hand account of an extraordinary story filled with motivations, decisions and consequences that would have lit Shakespeare up. There’s much more to Andrew’s book than what has been reported and I’m grateful that he’s trusting me with it.”

Goldman Sachs Settles with SEC

Goldman Sachs “agreed to pay $550 million to settle civil charges that it duped clients by selling mortgage securities that were secretly designed by a hedge-fund firm to cash in on the housing market’s collapse,” the Wall Street Journal reports.

The New York Times notes news of the settlement sent Goldman’s shares 5% higher in after-hours trading, “adding far more to the firm’s market value than the amount it will have to pay in the settlement.”

ProPublica notes the settlement is only about two weeks’ worth of profit for the firm.

Reid Takes Lead in Nevada

A new Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason Dixon poll in Nevada shows Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) has opened a strong lead over challenger Sharron Angle (R), 44% to 37%, “after pummeling her in a ubiquitous TV and radio ad campaign that portrays the Tea Party favorite as ‘too extreme.””

Said pollster Brad Coker: “He’s had five perfect weeks. The race has been all about her, and he’s been doing a good job of pounding her.”

This is the best Reid has done against Angle this year in a series of Mason-Dixon polls. Previously, the two had been locked in a statistical dead heat with Angle finishing just ahead of Reid in February, 44% to 42%, and in June, 44% to 41%, and Reid finishing just ahead of Angle in May, 42% to 39%.

These results also track another recent poll of the race.

Blumenthal Still Holds Large Lead in Connecticut

A new Quinnipiac poll in Connecticut finds Richard Blumenthal (D) leading Linda McMahon (R) by 17 points in the U.S. Senate race, 54% to 37%.

Said pollster Douglas Schwartz: “McMahon’s biggest problem with voters is that only 38% think she has the right kind of experience to be a U.S. Senator, which tracks very closely with the percentage of the vote she gets against Blumenthal. She has improved her experience number slightly, but she must do more to convince Connecticut voters that her background as an executive in professional wrestling is the right kind of experience.”

Meanwhile, while Rob Simmons (R) hinted he might jump back into the August 10 Republican primary, the poll finds McMahon crushing him among likely voters, 52% to 25%, with Peter Schiff (R) at 13%.

Feingold Holds Edge in Wisconsin

A new Badger poll in Wisconsin finds that less than half of state voters said they have made their minds up about for whom they would vote in the U.S. Senate race.

Among those who expressed a vote choice, slightly more said they preferred current Sen. Russ Feingold (D-WI) over likely challenger Ron Johnson (R), 33% to 28%.

Manchin Set to Name Byrd Replacement

West Virginia’s Gov. Joe Manchin (D) will introduce Sen. Robert Byrd’s successor Friday.

Marc Ambinder says his choice “is narrowed to three finalists. The betting is on Anne Barth, longtime state director for Byrd. She knows the states, the issues, and can channel Byrd’s legacy in an effective way.”

Sen. Harry Reid (D-NV) has already announced the new senator will be sworn in next Tuesday.

Most Still Blame Bush

Democrats — facing an angry electorate about the economy and other issues — still have one political asset: George W. Bush.

A new Bloomberg National Poll finds the former president is blamed more than President Obama for the budget deficit, unemployment and illegal immigration.

Even more surprising is that 60% say Bush is primarily responsible for the current situation in Afghanistan. Just 10% point to Obama, who has doubled the number of troops deployed into the country since Bush left office.

Specter Seeking Job in Administration

Sources tell ABC News that Sen. Arlen Specter (D-PA) “has informed the White House that he would like to consider remaining in public service after his senate term ends at the end of this session, and White House officials are keeping an open mind about possible job openings for him.”

Steele Loses Support in Maryland

If RNC Chairman Michael Steele thinks he’s going to a resume his political career in Maryland, a new Public Policy Polling survey may convince him to wait a few years or move to another state. Just 19% of state voters have a favorable opinion of him while 56% view him unfavorably.

In a 2012 U.S. Senate re-match, Sen. Ben Cardin (D-MD) would trounce his former opponent, 58% to 28%. Steele lost by just 10 points in 2006.

Greenspan Would End Bush Tax Cuts

Former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan, whose endorsement of President Bush’s 2001 tax cuts helped persuade Congress to pass them, told Bloomberg lawmakers should allow the cuts to expire at the end of the year.

Said Greenspan: “They should follow the law and let them lapse.”

See more…

Wall Street Reform Passes Senate

A major overhaul of the nation’s financial regulatory system passed the U.S. Senate by a vote of 60 to 39.

Wall Street Journal: “The measure will touch all areas of the financial markets, affecting how consumers obtain credit cards and mortgages, dictating how the government dismantles failing financial firms, and directing federal regulators’ focus on potential flashpoints in the economy.”

The bill now heads to the White House for President Obama’s signature.

According to CNN, House Minority Leader John Boehner (R-OH) is already calling for the bill’s repeal.

Blago Ringtones

“Now you can enjoy the profanity-laced tirades of Illinois’ least-favorite son when you’re on the go. Beginning today, The State Journal-Register is offering free Blagojevich ringtones for your (bleeping) phone.”

Greene Gets His Action Figures

South Carolina U.S. Senate candidate Alvin Greene (D) was widely mocked when he suggested creating action figures of him could help create jobs in his state.

Now the Charleston Post and Courier reports a minor league baseball team will be giving away 1000 action figures with Greene’s face on them at a game this weekend. The team will hire “special workers” specifically for the game to help with the promotion.

Said Charleston River Dogs general manager Dave Echols: “Who better epitomizes the American dream that anything is possible than Mr. Greene?”

Explore posts in the same categories: Candidates, National, Politics

One Comment on “POLITICAL WIRE’S HEADLINES – 7/16”

  1. Tony Pasanen Says:

    Thanks for the information and facts!

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