POLITICAL WIRE’S HEADLINES – 9/7

Obama’s War

The new Bob Woodward book due out later this month is so secret its publisher refused to reveal the title. However, a Borders executive tells the New York Times it will be called Obama’s War.

Orszag Supports Extending Bush Tax Cuts

Writing in the New York Times, former Obama budget director Peter Orszag makes the case for extending the Bush-era tax cuts.

“In the face of the dueling deficits, the best approach is a compromise: extend the tax cuts for two years and then end them altogether. Ideally only the middle-class tax cuts would be continued for now. Getting a deal in Congress, though, may require keeping the high-income tax cuts, too. And that would still be worth it.”

“Why does this combination make sense? The answer is that over the medium term, the tax cuts are simply not affordable. Yet no one wants to make an already stagnating jobs market worse over the next year or two, which is exactly what would happen if the cuts expire as planned.”

Quote of the Day

“Not too darn much.”

— Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels (R), in a must read interview with Mark Halperin, on what Republicans have done to deserve a good midterm election result.

GOP Holds Big Lead Heading Into Final Months

A new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll finds American voters split at 43% each on which party they say they will vote for this fall. But among those most likely to vote, Republicans hold a dramatic 49% to 40% advantage.

Key finding: Only 26% think the economy is going to get better in the next year, down markedly from 47% a year ago. In addition, 61% think the country is on the wrong track, up from 48% a year ago.

“One hope for Democrats is this: There are enough pro-Democrat, pro-Obama voters available to help the party head off disaster — if they can be persuaded to show up and vote. In the survey, those who expressed the very highest levels of interest in this year’s election preferred a Republican Congress by a margin of 53% to 35%. Among all other, less interested voters, Democrats are preferred by a 20-point margin.”

Republicans Have Momentum Heading Into Midterms

A new Washington Post/ABC News poll finds that for the first time in more than four years, Republicans now “run about evenly with Democrats on the question of which party they trust to handle the nation’s biggest problems. Among registered voters, 40% say they have more confidence in Democrats and 38% say they have more trust in Republicans. Three months ago, Democrats had a 12-point advantage.”

“Among all voters, 47% say they would back the Republican in their congressional district if the election were held now, while 45% would vote for the Democrat. Any GOP advantage on this question has been rare in past years — and among those most likely to vote this fall, the Republican advantage swells to 53% to the Democrats’ 40%.”

Meanwhile, President Obama’s approval rating is at a new low with just 46% of all Americans giving him positive marks and 52% negative ones.

GOP Holds Edge on Economy

A new CNN/Opinion Research poll shows Republicans have a slight edge over Democrats on the economy, with 46% of Americans saying that Republicans in Congress would do a better job and 43% saying that Democrats would do a better job.

The Republicans three point edge is a big shift from last year, when the Democrats held a 52% to 39% advantage.

The Wave Builds

Rothenberg Political Report: “National and local polls continue to show further deterioration in Democratic prospects. Given that, we are increasing our target of likely Republican gains from 28-33 seats to 37-42 seats, with the caveat that substantially larger GOP gains in the 45-55 seat range are quite possible. The next few weeks will be crucial, as Democratic incumbents seek to drive up Republican challengers’ negatives and strengthen their standing in ballot tests.”

McGinniss Leaves Wasilla

When Joe McGinniss moved in next door to Sarah Palin it set off a controversy when she suggested the author was spying on her for his new book. Garry Trudeau’sDoonesbury comic strip even had cartoon reporter Roland Hedley move in next to McGinniss to spy on the alleged spy.

McGinniss now tells the Anchorage Daily News that his publisher is considering having Trudeau do the cover for his upcoming book, due out next year.

His work done, McGinniss is now moving back home.

Bonus Quote of the Day

“They talk about me like a dog.”

— President Obama, quoted by the New York Times, about Republicans, adding “That’s not in my prepared remarks, but it’s true.”

Political Scientists Forecast Big Losses

Mark Blumenthal notes three of five presentations at a political science convention in Washington, D.C. this weekend predicted Republicans will gain more than 39 seats to take control of the House of Representatives.

Alan Abramowitz of Emory University forecast a Republican gain of 49 seats with a model based primarily on the generic congressional ballot.

Joe Bafumi of Dartmouth College forecast a 50-seat Republican gain using on a model that also heavily uses the generic congressional ballot.

James Campbell of SUNY Buffalo predicted a gain of 50 to 52 seats for the Republicans using a model that combines Cook Political Report ratings with the recent job approval rating of President Obama.

Alfred Cuzan forecast a Republican gain of 27 to 30 seats based on a model that relies on measures of economic growth and inflation rather than voter preference polling.

Michael Lewis Beck of the University of Iowa predicted a Republic gain of just 22 seats using his time-test “referendum” model based on a variety of measurements taken earlier this year.

Washington’s Frat House for Jesus

The New Yorker runs an interesting piece on the “C Street house,” the Capitol Hill townhouse where a group of Christian lawmakers live and pledge “to hold one another to a life lived by the principles of Jesus.”

Despite a series of recent sex scandals by current and former residents — Sen. John Ensign (R-NV) being the most recent — Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK) insists the “supper accountability session” will continue on Tuesday nights and “a question that’ll be asked about every four weeks is, Is anybody here having an affair?”

Jindal Won’t Endorse Vitter

Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal (R) said he’s staying out of the upcoming U.S. Senate race between Sen. David Vitter (R-LA) and challenger Rep. Charlie Melancon (D),WDSU-TV reports.

Said Jindal: “Voters can make up their own minds.”

Jindal claimed he does not get involved in federal races even though he’s endorsed several Republican congressmen already.

Quote of the Day

“That was an error, if I said that.”

— Arizona Gov. Jan Brewer (R), quoted by the AP, on her claim that headless bodies were turning up in the Arizona desert as part of border-related violence.

Portman Holds Wide Lead for U.S. Senate

A new Columbus Dispatch poll in Ohio finds Rob Portman (R) leading Lee Fisher by a 13 points in the race for U.S. Senate, 50% to 37%.

Kasich Holds Double-Digit Lead in Ohio

A new Columbus Dispatch poll in Ohio shows John Kasich (R) leading Gov. Ted Strickland (D) by 12 points in the race for governor, 49% to 37%.

“Strickland’s camp conceded weeks ago that he would probably lose if Ohio still had only limited early voting. But with any eligible voter now able to get an absentee ballot, Democrats have more than 30 days starting late this month to get their less-than-enthused base out. Early voting could be enhanced in Democrat-rich large counties because local officials mailed applications for absentee ballots to all voters and are paying the return postage, a factor that brought a GOP federal lawsuit last week.”

Obama Approval Slides in Illinois

“Enthusiasm for Barack Obama’s presidency in his home state has cooled as Illinois voters have grown increasingly uneasy over stewardship of the sputtering economy,” a new Tribune/WGN-TV poll has found.

A bare majority — 51% — said they approved of the job he has done as president while 39% disapproved.

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One Comment on “POLITICAL WIRE’S HEADLINES – 9/7”

  1. Benito Says:

    In the last four months Jan Brewer has been caught lying, three times and counting.

    The comments made on June 16, 2010, and June 27, 2010, clearly indicates that the Brewer says that immigrants are beheading people in the United States desert. She first ran away from the question and the press when confronted with the question. She finally when to FOX/ FAKE News to recant her lie.

    When Brewer was confronted with the fact the two of her top Advisors (Paul Senseman, Chuck Coughlin) are lobbyist for “Private Prisons” giant CCA she first ran away from the question and the press.

    In an attempt to gain sympathy, she first said her father had died in Germany fighting the Nazi in World War II (which ended 1945) but of course we find out the truth that her father was never in Germany and died in California in 1955. Do you see a trend here?

    Brewer signed into law SB 1070 Bill (Did she even read it?), lied about the crime rates in AZ (even Janet Napolitano knows that all crimes rates went down), and now we find out that she is in the pockets of PRIVATE PRISONS who stand to benefit with the increase Federal jailing, and thus they will pay her back, I wonder if it has to do anything about the fact that her son was transferred to a brand new prison, he was convicted for rape and sexual assault, I guess the fruit does not fall far the tree.

    “Private Prisons Lie”
    youtube.com/watch?v=UMcgXxzcBeY

    “AZ Crime Rates”
    youtube.com/watch?v=0eb4mMk6XgQ

    “Father Lie”
    vodpod.com/watch/3771595-charles-krauthammer-rips-jan-brewer-for-lying-about-her-father-dying-in-ww2


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