POLITICAL WIRE’S HEADLINES – 2/15
A new New York Times/CBS News poll shows President Obama holds a significant lead over each of his potential Republican rivals.
Obama leads Mitt Romney by six points among registered voters, 48% to 42%, and tops Rick Santorum by eight points, 49% to 41%.
Key finding: “Romney’s drop in support against the president is attributable to a shift among independents. Last month, independents favored the former Massachusetts governor by eight points over Mr. Obama. In the new survey, Mr. Obama holds the edge, leading Romney among independents by nine points.”
“It’s not okay because it’s a license to do things in the sexual realm that is counter to how things are supposed to be.”
— Rick Santorum, quoted by Time, on why he wants to fight the “dangers of contraception.”
A new Elway Poll in Washington finds Attorney General Rob McKenna (R) leading Rep. Jay Inslee (D) by nine points in the gubernatorial race, 45% to 36%.
Even though he’s running behind Linda McMahon (R) in recent polls, Chris Shays (R) told the Danbury News Times “that he will take his fight for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate to an August primary, if need be.”
Said Shays: “You rally around the person who will be the best candidate. I believe it will be me.”
A new Public Policy Polling survey in Michigan finds Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-MI) with her biggest lead yet in four polls of the U.S. Senate race.
Stabenow leads Pete Hoekstra (R) by 14 points, 51% to 37%, and has an even wider 17 point lead over Clark Durant (R), 50% to 33%.
Key finding: “Hoekstra appears to have been damaged by his controversial Super Bowl ad. 54% of voters in the state were familiar with it, and within that group 45% said it made them less likely to vote for him compared to only 16% who considered it a positive and 37% who said it didn’t make a difference to them either way.”
A new Rasmussen survey in Michigan finds Rick Santorum leading Mitt Romney in the GOP presidential race, 35% to 32%, followed by Ron Paul at 13% and Newt Gingrich at 11%.
These numbers confirm the results of two polls yesterday that also found Santorum ahead.
“Pressure is on the Maine Republican Party to reconsider its weekend declaration that Mitt Romney won the state’s caucuses,” the Bangor Daily News reports.
“A number of communities were not included in that poll because they had not held their caucuses in time. Washington County Republicans postponed their caucuses, originally scheduled for Saturday, Feb. 11, because of a pending snowstorm and will now meet this Saturday. Other communities across the states also have caucuses scheduled for this weekend and later this month.”
“However, a review of the town-by-town results released Saturday by the Maine GOP suggests that some communities that had caucused prior to Feb. 11 were not counted.”
Josh Putnam notes the Michigan Republican primary battle will be waged not statewide, but on the congressional district level.
“Strategically, if you’re Mitt Romney or a Romney-aligned super PAC, you focus on the districts in and around the Detroit area and perhaps cede the rest of the state to Santorum. And if you’re the Santorum camp you try and gobble up as much of the remainder as you can and hope to crack into those Detroit areas.”
“The bottom line is that barring an overwhelming victory for one candidate in Michigan, the delegate margin is very likely to be close coming out of the Great Lakes state on February 28.”
A new SurveyUSA Poll in Minnesota shows Sen. Amy Klobuchar (D-MN) crushing possible challengers Joe Arwood (R) and Dan Severson (R) by a 2 to 1 margin.
Klobuchar leads Arwood, 59% to 28%, and tops Severson, 56% to 29%.
Mitt Romney released a new ad in Michigan that highlights his family’s roots ahead of a must-win primary on February 28.
A Mitt Romney adviser told BuzzFeed about the campaign’s coming “two-front attack” on Rick Santorum which “may make previous attacks on Rick Perry and Newt Gingrich look like mere love taps.”
Said the adviser: “Santorum’s a blank slate, so everyone’s projecting on to him what they want because he’s the last anti-Romney. Santorum is going to get introduced to people that don’t know him.”
First, he’ll be compared to President Obama: “He’s never run anything. The biggest thing he ever ran is his Senate office.”
Second, he’ll be painted as a creature of Washington: “They’re going to hit him very hard on earmarks, lobbying, voting to raise the federal debt limit five times. The story of Santorum is going to be told over the next few weeks in a big way.”
Herman Cain confirmed that he was approached by ABC’s “Dancing with the Stars” to appear on this season’s competition but nixed the idea, according to the Atlanta Journal Constitution.
Said an assistant: “He can’t dance in an eight-count. He can only dance in a nine-count.”
“Nine-count. Get it? 9-9-9.”
First Read: “While the president’s budget is unlikely to become close to the blueprint this Congress adopts for 2013, do realize that because of this election year and the leverage BOTH parties THINK they could have in November, the future of the Bush-era tax cuts (which Obama extended once) probably won’t be dealt with by Washington’s leaders until that six-week period between Election Day and the New Year. So for those thinking the election itself will bring some rest for the weary… think again. Bush isn’t on the ballot in November, but the future of his tax legacy is.”
“This week, President Obama will release a budget that won’t take any meaningful steps toward solving our entitlement crisis. The president has failed to offer a single serious idea to save Social Security and is the only president in modern history to cut Medicare benefits for seniors.”
— Mitt Romney, quoted by the Boston Globe, blaming President Obama for failing to curb the growth of entitlement spending while at the same time criticizing him for cutting Medicare benefits.
Paul Krugman: “Has there ever been a candidacy this cynical?”
Three new national polls this week show Rick Santorum surging into the lead nationally among Republicans.
First Read: “So if you were to write the early history of this GOP presidential race, you’d have to make these two points, no matter who eventually wins the nomination: One, Romney is the on-again, off-again front-runner who holds almost every advantage (money, organization, endorsements, having run for president before) except the one that matters most: the hearts and minds of the base. And two, all it takes is a little good news (a primary victory, a strong debate performance) for a non-Romney lacking these advantages to give him a run for his money because of the one missing ingredient for the front-runner: passion.”
Texas Gov. Rick Perry told Jon Karl that he’s very likely to run again for president in 2016.
Said Perry: “Absolutely.”
He also had some unsolicited advice for Mitt Romney: “Governor you gotta stand up in front of the American people and say what you did on health care in Massachusetts was wrong.You need to stand up and clearly distance yourself from the biggest issue that’s out there with this president.”
A new WBUR-MassINC poll in Massachusetts shows Elizabeth Warren (D) just edging Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) in the U.S. Senate race, 46% to 43%.
Said pollster Steve Koczela about Warren: “She really came out of the gate fast and there was some question as to whether or not she was going to be able to maintain the momentum that she started out with. And what this poll has shown is that she has been able to maintain that momentum.”
Mitt Romney writes in a Detroit News op-ed that President Obama should have let automakers go into a “managed bankruptcy” instead of using a federal bailout with taxpayer money.
“Managed bankruptcy may sound like a death knell. But in fact, it is a way for a troubled company to restructure itself rapidly, entering and leaving the courtroom sometimes in weeks or months instead of years, and then returning to profitable operation… By the spring of 2009, instead of the free market doing what it does best, we got a major taste of crony capitalism, Obama-style.”
Newt Gingrich dismissed any notion of dropping out of the GOP presidential race before Super Tuesday on March 6 and predicted another comeback for his campaign, the New York Times reports.
Yesterday, editors of the conservative magazine National Review called on him to do for the good of the Republican Party on Monday.
Said Gingrich: “National Review wanted us to drop out in June. It’s silly.”
Stu Rothenberg: “So what’s worse to Gingrich, losing the nomination or watching Romney get it?”
A New York Times/CBS News poll shows Rick Santorum surging among Republican primary voters nationwide, “lifted by support among conservatives, evangelical Christians and Tea Party supporters.”
Santorum leads the GOP presidential race with 30%, followed by Mitt Romney at 27%, Ron Paul at 12% and Newt Gingrich at 10%.
“House Republican leaders said Monday that they will support extending the federal payroll tax holiday through the end of the year without demanding spending cuts to pay for it,” theWashington Post reports. The move marks a major concession by Republicans after spending months insisting that Democrats find a way to offset the costs of the tax cut.
“Republicans want to continue negotiations over financing the rest of the original legislative package, including an extension of unemployment benefits and a key tweak to maintain Medicare reimbursement rates for doctors, while ensuring that taxes will not rise on workers… Democratic leaders said they would prefer moving all three measures in a single piece of legislation but did not rule out supporting the House Republican compromise proposal to act on the tax holiday separately.”
Roll Call: “Republicans are acknowledging that they would rather give in on a straight extension than fight on for spending cuts that Senate Democrats will not accept.”Explore posts in the same categories: Candidates, National, Politics