POLITICAL WIRE’S HEADLINES – 5/23
A new Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) poll in Wisconsin shows Gov. Scott Walker (R) leading Tom Barrett (D) in the recall race, 50% to 47% — within the poll’s four-point margin of error.
Several other recent polls have show Walker opening up a larger lead.
A new Public Policy Polling survey in Pennsylvania poll finds President Obama leading Mitt Romney by eight points, 50% to 42%, essentially unchanged from early March.
A new NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll shows that President Obama’s support of same-sex marriage seems to have had limited political consequences.
Key finding: 17% said it makes them “much more likely” or “somewhat more likely” they will vote for Obama. That’s compared with a combined 20% who say the announcement will make them more likely to vote for Mitt Romney, who opposes gay marriage. Finally, 62% say the president’s support for gay marriage doesn’t make a difference in their vote.
Jon Karl: “Mia Love is a Republican Congressional candidate unlike any you have ever seen before — African American, Mormon, conservative and the Republican party has declared her race one of the top 10 House races in the country this year. She is now the mayor of Saratoga Springs, Utah (pop. 18,000), but if she wins, Love will be the first African-American woman Republican elected to Congress.”
Jeff Greenfield: “First, when have presidents who are up for re-election dumped their vice-presidents, and why have they done it? The difference between the reality and the Hillary-for-Joe fantasy can be measured in light years.”
“Second, if Obama were to attempt this, how would he explain it? Trying to answer this question with a straight face is the best way to understand why (assuming accident or illness does not intervene) it’s not going to happen.”
A new ad from Larry McCarthy, the producer behind the infamous Willie Horton commercial in 1988, and funded Karl Rove’s Crossroads GPS, “is expected to become one of the most heavily broadcast political commercials of this phase of the general election,” the New York Times reports.
It will debut tomorrow in 10 swing states as the centerpiece of a $25 million campaign.
“Yet what Mr. McCarthy and Crossroads have produced is not the kind of searing denunciation of President Obama that their track records would suggest. More soft-pedal than Swift Boat, the 60-second advertisement, complete with special effects, is a deeply researched, delicately worded story of a struggling family; its relatively low-key tone is all the more striking, coming at a point in the campaign when each side is accusing the other of excessive negativity.”
MSNBC: “The most misunderstood voting bloc in the 2012 election is the Catholic vote. Why? Because there isn’t one. The religious assemblage, which has evolved over the past century from a strong Democratic constituency into a national election bellwether, is no longer discernible from most other voter groups. As the community has become less homogenous and more assimilated into mainstream culture, so has its voting habits – sending many politicians on a fool’s errand in pursuit of the ‘Catholic vote.”
“If I thought that call was coming, I would disconnect the phone.”
— Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels (R), quoted by Yahoo News, on potentially being picked as Mitt Romney’s running mate.
According to Jim Romenesko, Fox News chief Roger Ailes told students at Ohio University that the Daily Show’s Jon Stewart “basically has admitted to me, in a bar, that he’s a socialist.”
Newark Mayor Cory Booker spoke to Rachel Maddow about being the Romney campaign’s shield for Presdent Obama’s attacks on Bain Capital.
Said Booker: “I am very upset that I am being used by the GOP this way and it’s, uh, while I thought today I was going to be quiet, I’ve been pushed so far that you are going to hear a lot from me to the extent possible and to the extent that President Obama and his campaign want to hear from me.”
First Read notes Booker is “clearly nervous about how this episode is playing with base Democrats.”
The Daily Caller notes President Obama “has become the first political $1 billion man. He’s the first politician to take in that stratospheric number in donations during his political career.”
“His total take reached $1,017,892,305 in April, some nine years after he began his 2004 race for the Senate. Obama is widely expected to raise at least $300 million more before November.”
The Iowa Republican Party is “intentionally questioning” President Obama’s citizenship with wording in their platform document which calls for presidential candidates to “show proof of being a ‘natural born citizen’ of the United States,” Radio Iowa reports.
Said Don Racheter, chairman of the Iowa GOP’s platform committee: “There are many Republicans who feel that Barack Obama is not a ‘natural born citizen’ because his father was not an American when he was born and, therefore, feel that according to the Constitution he’s not qualified to be president, should not have been allowed to be elected by the Electoral College or even nominated by the Democratic Party in 2008, so this is an election year. It’s a shot at him.”
“I’m very surprised that President Obama went down this road.”
— Newt Gingrich, in an interview with CNN, on criticizing Mitt Romney’s record at Bain Capital.
Gingrich, of course, led the attack during the GOP primary.
A new Washington Post-ABC News poll shows President Obama and Mitt Romney are locked in a dead heat over who could fix the country’s economic problems, 47% to 47%.
When asked where they stand financially compared with when Obama took office, 30% say they are worse off, and only 16% say they are better off.
“There is not a widespread sense that things would be better had Romney been president for the past three-plus years, but for the incumbent it is a critical measure. On this question, Obama’s numbers continue to resemble those of George H.W. Bush, who lost his bid for reelection in 1992 amid a flagging economy.”
However, in a general election match up, Obama still leads Romney, 49% to 46%.
Amy Walter: “On the one-hand, the fact that President Obama is statistically tied with Mitt Romney, even as his approval rating on handling the economy is a dismal 42 percent suggests a strong Obama brand. Voters are unhappy with the economy, but haven’t yet given up on the President. On the other hand, these numbers are like a ticking time bomb. If the economy doesn’t improve, and if Romney can present himself as a reasonable alternative, there’s nowhere for Obama’s numbers to go but down.”
A Texas Tribune poll finds Mitt Romney crushing President Obama in the Lone Star state, 55% to 35%.
A Sooner Poll in Oklahoma finds Romney headed for a landslide, 62% to 27%.