POLITICAL WIRE’S HEADLINES – 8/14
A new CNN/ORC International poll indicates that 57% of Americans say that in past elections, presidential debates were very important to their vote for president.
In addition, 46% said that the choice of a running a running mate was very important.
A new WMUR-TV Granite State Poll conducted over the last two weeks finds President Obama leading Mitt Romney by three points, 49% to 46%.
Charles Mahtesian: “With the announcement of Paul Ryan as Mitt Romney’s running mate, Democrats have made their strategy clear: They intend to make Ryan EVERY Republican candidate’s running mate. That’s left Republicans scrambling to inoculate their House and Senate candidates and provide some guidelines on how to respond effectively to the expected onslaught.”
The Mayo Clinic said that Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. (D-IL) has been diagnosed with bipolar disorder and is under treatment there for the condition, the Chicago Sun Times reports.
“He’s been suffering from massive depression and gastrointestinal issues, a likely complication from a risky weight-loss surgery known as a ‘duodenal switch.'”
John Avlon looks at the political fall of former Rep. Chris Shays (R-CT).
A new Gallup poll finds 64% of Americans say they have given quite a lot of thought to the 2012 presidential election, a slightly lower percentage than Gallup measured in July of 2004 and 2008.
However, Republicans are significantly more likely than Democrats to say they are thinking a lot about the election, 74% to 61%, a 13-point Republican split that is larger than Gallup has measured in recent presidential election years.
The decision to open R-rated comedy The Campaign — “a raunchy satire of the lengths political candidates are willing to go — in the midst of the real-life presidential contest appears to be paying off,” according to the Hollywood Reporter.
“The Campaign, featuring Will Ferrell and Zach Galifianakis as rivals vying to represent their North Carolina district in Congress, debuted to a solid $27.4 million, slightly more than Warners was anticipating. Generally speaking, R-rated comedies fall off on Saturday since younger moviegoers, the target audience for such fare, are more prone to turn out on Friday.”
The Atlantic: “The jokes are dumb, but so is politics.”
The Fix: “In 25 days, we’ll likely know whether Mitt Romney picking Paul Ryan was a savvy strategy to make the November election about big ideas or a fizzled failure that collapsed under the weight of the controversial budget proposals put forward by the Wisconsin Republican.”
“That’s the amount of time between today and Sept. 7, the day after the Democratic National Convention concludes in Charlotte, N.C. Between now and then Ryan will have barnstormed the country… and both parties will have had a chance to make their (heavily orchestrated) cases to the American public at their respective conventions.”
Bloomberg: Obama’s push to define Paul Ryan on Medicare.
Lloyd Constantine, a former adviser to New York Gov. Eliot Spitzer (D), rips current Gov. Andrew Cuomo (D) in an Albany Times-Union op-ed for sending staffers to redact documents from public view at the State Archives.
“The reason these documents have been made to disappear has little to do with what was said, or the pretextual rationale that privileged and confidential information had been disclosed. This disappearing act instead has everything to do with the documents’ underlying subject matter — the shamefully amateurish and inadequate investigation that Attorney General Cuomo conducted in 2007 into the so-called Troopergate scandal.”
“As Cuomo proceeds toward his desired manifest destiny, he wants us to forget this. And he’s more than willing to help.”
Although Mitt Romney was supposed to visit Orlando today, the Orlando Sentinel reports he cancelled the trip because he was “too exhausted.”
However, a top adviser pushed back on the report to Yahoo News saying the candidate still has a packed schedule today.
While attacking President Obama for his lack of business experience, Mitt Romney told the story earlier this year of a man who proposed amending the U.S. Constitution to require all presidents have at least three years of business experience.
A new USA Today/Gallup Poll finds Rep. Paul Ryan is seen as just a “fair” or “poor” choice as Mitt Romney’s running mate by 42% of Americans vs. 39% who think he is an “excellent” or “pretty good” choice.
“The poll also finds 17% of adults say they are more likely to vote for Romney in November because Ryan is his running mate — about the same impact Sarah Palin had for John McCain four years ago among registered voters.”
The announcements of running mates since Dick Cheney in 2000 all showed more positive reactions. Only Dan Quayle in 1988 was viewed less positively.
A new ABC News-Washington Post poll also finds voters split nearly evenly on Ryan’s selection, 38% favorable to 33% unfavorable.
Amy Walter: “In picking Rep. Paul Ryan, whose eponymous budget plan has become synonymous with political polarization, Mitt Romney assured an ideological campaign where a debate over the role of government will be front and center. It is a debate the Obama campaign and partisans on both sides are also eager to have. But it’s not a debate that swing voters want.”
“They aren’t as interested in choosing whether government should be more active or less. They are more interested in simply having it work.”
Dylan Byers reports the presidential debate moderators have been chosen:
“PBS’s Jim Lehrer will host the first presidential debate on October 3 in Denver, Colo. CNN’s Candy Crowley will host the second, town-hall debate on October 16 in Hempstead, N.Y. CBS’s Bob Schieffer will host the third debate on October 22 in Boca Raton, Fla.”
“ABC’s Martha Raddatz will host the vice presidential debate on October 11 in Danville, Ky.”
Amid worries that Paul Ryan could hurt him in Florida, Mitt Romney visits what could be the key battleground state in the presidential election.
First Read notes that while it’s possible for Romney to get to 270 electoral votes without Florida — it’s extremely unlikely: “If Obama were to win Florida, Romney would need to win CO, IA, NV, NH, NC VA, and WI. In other words, he’d have to run the table.”
First Read: “By selecting Paul Ryan as his running mate on Saturday, Mitt Romney did something that Walter Mondale, Bob Dole, Al Gore, and John McCain did in previous presidential contests: They used their VP pick to try to shake things up. Trailing in the summer, they chose a running mate — be it Geraldine Ferraro, Jack Kemp, Joe Lieberman, or Sarah Palin — to change the fundamentals of the race. These picks all worked in the short run, but only once (with Lieberman) did it serve its purpose for the rest of the campaign. (Gore, after all, was able to battle back to where he actually won the popular vote.)”
“So how will this play out for Romney? By picking Ryan, he made the calculation that he needed to pick someone to help redefine himself, first and foremost. The move also serves to fire up conservatives, give the GOP ticket a jolt of youthful energy, and make the case he now stands for something big. But it also wasn’t the kind of VP selection we saw from George W. Bush in 2000 or Barack Obama in 2008 that essentially said: ‘I’ve got this thing.’ Instead, by picking Ryan, Romney said: ‘I need some help.'”
Wonk Wire: Romney wants a policy fight.
Mitt Romney released another ad accusing President Obama of gutting the 1996 welfare law by “quietly ending work requirements for welfare.”
The Note: “The new ad uses historical video of Obama opposing the 1996 reforms, but it perpetuates a gross exaggeration that leeway for states — which could propose new and different work requirements, possibly replacing job-training quotas with different metrics — amounts to the end of work requirements nationwide.”
As Mitt Romney heads to Florida on a campaign stop — without running mate Paul Ryan — the Obama campaign greets him with a new video attacking the GOP ticket on their approach to Medicare.
The tagline: “Romney-Ryan ending Medicare as we know it.”
A new SurveyUSA poll in Missouri finds Mitt Romney barely ahead of President Obama, 45% to 44%.
Meanwhile, in the U.S. Senate race, challenger Todd Akin (R) is 11 points in front of Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-MO), 51% to 40%.
A new Politico/George Washington University Battleground poll conducted just before Mitt Romney chose Paul Ryan and his running mate found a very tight presidential race.
President Obama leads Romney by just one point among likely voters, 48% to 47%.
“Both candidates also maintained their previous advantages among specific demographic groups. Romney leads among independent voters by 10 points, 47 percent to 37 percent, the same margin he had in May. And Obama continues his advantage among female voters by 15 points – also similar to his May margin.”
A new Investors Business Daily/Christian Science Monitor poll finds Obama ahead by seven points, 46% to 39%.Explore posts in the same categories: Candidates, National, Politics