POLITICAL WIRE’S HEADLINES – 9/5

National Debt Tops $16 Trillion

USA Today: “As expected, the national debt topped the $16 trillion mark today. And, as expected, Republicans moved quickly to blame President Obama.”

More Reporters, Less Audience

Michael Wolff: “Here we are, in an age when all news organizations have massive resource challenges, and yet, there are four times more media people at each convention than delegates. Resources are hardly the only issue. The larger point is that Americans as a whole (rather than Americans as a targeted demographic) care less and less about politics.”

“I’m not sure it’s possible to emphasize enough the point about how little people are interested in politics – that is, the people who are not paid to be interested in it, or the fringe who take their identity from it. Sometimes, I think the political system can’t comprehend this fact or conspires to hide it.”

Dead Heat Nationally

A new CNN/ORC poll shows the presidential race tied at 48%.

Just before the GOP convention last week a similar poll showed President Obama ahead by two points, 49% to 47%.

Said pollster Keating Holland: “The Republican convention had at best a mild effect on the presidential race, and from a statistical viewpoint, no effect at all. Demographically, Romney’s overall one-point bounce masks some movement among subgroups and suggests that Romney’s pitch to some groups may have worked but at the expense of turning off another group of voters.”

Florida Remains Very Close

A new Gravis Marketing poll in Florida finds Mitt Romney edging President Obama in the key battleground state, 48% to 47%.

Democrats Drop “God” from Platform

David Brody reports God’s name has been removed from the Democratic National Committee platform.

This is the paragraph that was in the 2008 platform: “We need a government that stands up for the hopes, values, and interests of working people, and gives everyone willing to work hard the chance to make the most of their God-givenpotential.”

Now the words “God-given” have been removed.

Why Team Obama is Confident Romney Can’t Win

Greg Sargent writes up some fascinating tidbits from an interview with Obama adviser David Plouffe.

“The Romney camp seems to be hoping for a big, late break of undecided voters his way. But Dems remain convinced they understand who these voters are and what motivates them better than the Romney team does — and don’t see a way that these voters break to Romney in large enough numbers to overcome a two or three point deficit in the key battlegrounds.”

Said Plouffe: “The question is, Is Romney going to get enough of the undecided vote to overcome a two or three point deficit in the battle ground states? Most assuredly not.”

Also interesting: “When I asked Plouffe to respond to the Romney argument about Obama’s failure to reach 50 percent, he claimed this is still premised on a faulty assumption — that this signals that Romney will capture an unduly large share of the remaining undecided voters. If Obama heads into early voting with 48 or 49 percent in the key battlegrounds, and a small lead, Romney will not be able to make up that deficit, Plouffe argued.”

Why Team Obama is Confident Romney Can’t Win

Greg Sargent writes up some fascinating tidbits from an interview with Obama adviser David Plouffe.

“The Romney camp seems to be hoping for a big, late break of undecided voters his way. But Dems remain convinced they understand who these voters are and what motivates them better than the Romney team does — and don’t see a way that these voters break to Romney in large enough numbers to overcome a two or three point deficit in the key battlegrounds.”

Said Plouffe: “The question is, Is Romney going to get enough of the undecided vote to overcome a two or three point deficit in the battle ground states? Most assuredly not.”

Also interesting: “When I asked Plouffe to respond to the Romney argument about Obama’s failure to reach 50 percent, he claimed this is still premised on a faulty assumption — that this signals that Romney will capture an unduly large share of the remaining undecided voters. If Obama heads into early voting with 48 or 49 percent in the key battlegrounds, and a small lead, Romney will not be able to make up that deficit, Plouffe argued.”

Does Re-Electing Obama Guarantee Gridlock?

Wonk Wire: “If Obama wins re-election, the Republican Party will react by moving right, not left. It will become less likely to compromise with Obama, not more.”

No Easy Day

The Washington Post has a very good review of No Easy Day: The Firsthand Account of the Mission That Killed Osama Bin Laden noting the authors “do not disappoint.”

“They take the reader on a roller-coaster ride, opening the book with Owen on the Black Hawk helicopter that crashed within the first seconds of the SEAL team’s arrival at bin Laden’s compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan.”

The book is out today despite suggestions from the Pentagon that it might try to stop publication.

Nelson Leads Mack in Florida

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Florida finds Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) has a 7 point lead over challenger Connie Mack (R), 45% to 38%, representing a 5 point increase in his lead compared to a late July poll.

Key findings: “The reason Nelson’s ahead despite being unpopular is that Mack is even more unpopular. Only 27% of voters have a favorable opinion of him to 45% with an unfavorable one. Just 17% of independents have a positive opinion of Mack to 48% with a negative one, and much of Nelson’s lead comes thanks to a 45-29 advantage with that group.”

Goode Makes Presidential Ballot in Virginia

Former Rep. Virgil Goode Jr. (R-VA) has qualified for the presidential ballot in Virginia as the Constitution Party’s nominee, adding a potential obstacle to Mitt Romney’s hopes of winning the pivotal state, the Washington Post reports.

Florida Republicans Hit Charlie Crist

Although the Florida gubernatorial race is more than two years away, Republicans are already up with an ad attacking former Gov. Charlie Crist (I) in the event he tries to seek his old job again.

Alex Burns: “The spot is reminiscent of a Florida Democratic Party ad from the 2010 cycle, hitting Crist from the left as an insincere flip-flopper. The difference is that now, Republicans want to kneecap Crist with the party that’s about to embrace him before the Crist reboot gets fully underway. The fact that the ad is running on MSNBC only tells you almost all you need to know.”

See more…

Kennedys Still a Force Despite Lack of Torchbearer

Boston Globe: “The last Democratic National Convention that gathered without a Kennedy in Congress was held in Chicago in 1944, only six weeks after the D-day invasion, at a time when typewriters, telephones, and teletypes were the gold standard of communication.”

“Nearly seven decades later, the two-dozen family members who gather in Charlotte, N.C., will find themselves in that unfamiliar position again, without a standard-bearer of national clout since the 2009 death of Senator Edward M. Kennedy.”

Obama Runs on Truth

Michael Scherer: “The Obama campaign is claiming the banner of truth, as a cudgel against their opponent…. For the record, the Obama campaign has not always hewed to the truth. One of its summer television spots, which focused on Mitt Romney’s abortion record, is centered on an outright falsehood…. But in recent weeks, the Romney campaign has outdone the Obama deceptions by shaping its central message around two distortions: The notion that Obama cut Medicare to deprive current seniors benefits, and the idea that Obama wants to do away with the work requirement for welfare…. In Charlotte, look for the Obama team to ride this message to political benefit.”

Daily Beast: Republicans declare war on history.

Bounces Just Aren’t What They Used To Be

Nate Silver looks back at post-convention polling and finds the “three smallest bounces for the challenging candidates came in the last three elections. Bounces aren’t what they used to be, perhaps because voters are saturated with information months in advance of an election, increased partisanship and sterilized conventions that may have become too polished for their own good.”

“The catch is that each of these things is a structural factor, and therefore might predict that Mr. Obama won’t get much of a bounce either. Maybe this is just the new normal; the assumption that our forecast model had made in advance of the convention was that Mr. Romney would get only a four-point bounce.”

Democrats Could Keep the Senate

Charlie Cook: “For Senate Democrats, the 2012 cycle was supposed to be about exposure to the kind of losses that would imperil their majority. Their goal for the cycle was simple: Hang on to control of the chamber by a thread. Just months ago, such an objective seemed like a pipe dream, and for good reason.”

“But looks can be deceiving, especially in politics. A mix of factors has combined to give Democrats a fighting chance of holding their majority. For starters, they got some breaks at the hands of Republicans. The first was the decision by Sen. Olympia Snowe (R-ME), to retire… The second break came in August, when Rep. Todd Akin, the GOP’s newly minted Senate nominee in Missouri, uttered the words ‘legitimate rape.’ That one phrase transformed this race against Democratic Sen. Claire McCaskill… Another factor is recruiting. Democrats managed to recruit strong candidates in races for Republican-leaning seats.”

Uninvited and Not Missed at Democratic Convention

“Rarely has a political persona been so non grata as John Edwards at this Democratic convention in his home state,” USA Today reports.

“The former North Carolina senator and vice presidential nominee is not invited, and almost no one here thinks he should be.”

Romney Raises More Than $100 Million Again

Mitt Romney raised $100 million in August, his campaign told bundlers last week in Tampa, according to Politico.

“August would be the third straight month that the three main committees boosting the GOP nominee — Romney for President, Romney Victory and the Republican National Committee — have combined to surpass the century mark.”

Obama Gives Himself an Incomplete on the Economy

President Obama was asked by KKTV-TV what grade he would give himself on the American economy.

Said Obama: “You know I would say incomplete…but what I would say is the steps that we have taken in saving the auto industry, in making sure that college is more affordable and investing in clean energy and science and technology and research, those are all the things that we are going to need to grow over the long term.”

Obama Counting on Clinton

Washington Post: “There is nothing formulaic about Clinton’s presence at the Democratic National Convention this year. He is not just another old presidential war horse being trotted out for nostalgia or a staged show of unity. When Obama called in late July to say he would be grateful if his Democratic predecessor would give the speech placing his name in nomination, something that no former commander in chief has done before, it was an acknowledgment of how much the sitting president needs the former president. And Clinton, who loves to be needed as much as he needs to be loved, responded with an enthusiasm and diligence that served as yet another signal to people close to both men that an old wound has for the most part been healed.”

Newsweek: “Obama knows that he needs Clinton to lift a convention that many Democrats are pointedly avoiding, and to help rescue an imperiled reelection bid that will be nothing like the relatively easy ride that Clinton enjoyed in 1996.”

Explore posts in the same categories: Candidates, National, Politics

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