POLITICAL WIRE’S HEADLINES – 9/6
Democrats voted to update their party’s platform “to include a reference to Jerusalem being the capital of Israel, as well as the insertion of the word ‘God,’ neither of which was included in their platform this year but was in previous platforms,” CNN reports.
The change “required a two-thirds voice vote, but was declared as adopted after three voice votes which brought delegates to their feet, shouting their yeas and nays.”
A USA Today/Gallup poll conducted prior to both political party conventions finds former President Bill Clinton with a 69% favorable rating — a personal best spanning his presidential and post-presidential years.
Among women, Clinton’s favorabie rating is 73%.
John Heilemann says First Lady Michelle Obama’s speech last night “was one of the most extraordinary convention turns I have witnessed in more than two decades in this racket.”
“Her own high-stakes debut came four years ago at the Democratic convention in Denver, in a speech that sought to dispel the negative impressions of her — as a haughty, aggrieved, and even angry black woman — that had been propagated in some quarters. And so it did, and then some. Since then, MRO’s public image has been pure gold; with an approval rating of 66 percent, she is more popular than her husband (and any other Democrat save the Clintons) by a mile.”
“And yet, for all that, what no one could have fully appreciated was how much she has grown and the heights she has attained as a political performer — until last night, that is. Purely at the level of stage presence and oratorical execution, Michelle was close to flawless: warm and natural, charming and convincing, passionate and pitch-perfect, giving off such a natural and comfortable affect that it was almost possible to forget that she was, you know, performing.”
A new Gravis Marketing poll in Ohio shows Mitt Romney with a small lead over President Obama in the key battleground state, 47% to 44%.
Obama held a one point lead in the firm’s previous poll.
“Do you really want to live in a country where one party is so desperate to win the White House that they go around trying to make it harder for people to vote if they’re people of color, poor people or first generation immigrants?”
— Bill Clinton, quoted by The Nation, speaking to Arkansas Democrats on GOP efforts to pass voter ID laws.
Mitt Romney’s tax returns “are reportedly in the hands of a team of hackers who plan on releasing them publicly at the end of the month unless a ransom is paid,” Mashablereports.
“The group allegedly obtained the files from PricewaterhouseCooper’s Tennessee office on Aug. 25, in what was described… as a Mission Impossible-like caper:”
A Smart Politics review finds that Michelle Obama’s 2012 speech to the Democratic convention was written at the highest ever grade level for spouses of presidential candidates and seven grade levels above Ann Romney’s Republican convention remarks, as measured by the Flesch-Kincaid readability test.
South Carolina Democratic chairman Dick Harpootlian compared Gov. Nikki Haley (R) to Adolf Hitler’s mistress, the Columbia State reports.
Said Harpootlian, referring to Haley’s participation in daily news briefings in a basement studio: “She was down in the bunker a la Eva Braun.”
Braun killed herself in a bunker with Hitler towards the end of World War II.
“We are very sorry that your song ‘Eye of the Tiger‘ was associated with the 2012 Newt Gingrich campaign.”
— Newt Gingrich, quoted by TMZ, apologizing for using the song in his presidential campaign.
Businessweek has a great piece on Karl Rove’s evaluation of 15 key Senate races in an exclusive briefing to his Super PAC donors.
President Obama’s Thursday night speech has been moved indoors due to weather forecasts, Politico reports.
The address was scheduled to be at an outdoor venue with more than 70,000 seats. But forecasts are predicting thunderstorms, forcing a last-minute change.
Nate Silver: “On average, between 1968 and 2008, the challenging candidate led by 10 percentage points in polls conducted just after his convention. By comparison, the challenging candidate eventually lost the popular vote by an average of three points in these years. That means the post-convention polls overrated the challenger by an average of 13 points.”
“The good news for Mr. Romney is that this tendency has been growing smaller over time. However, it hasn’t necessarily disappeared. In 1992, Bill Clinton led by more than 20 points after his convention, but his actual winning margin was only about six. In 2000, George W. Bush came out of his convention in Philadelphia with about a 10-point lead in the polls — but he eventually lost the popular vote. John Kerry, in 2004, got very little bounce from his convention. But Mr. Kerry nevertheless came into his convention with a lead, and he maintained it — then he lost the popular vote by about two points instead.”
Fortune: “If you want to know why the Dodd-Frank banking reform law may eliminate jobs or restrict lending, you won’t immediately find the answer on the web pages of any financial firm or Wall Street lobbying group. These days, the site that holds that most vitriol for the two-year-old bill passed by Congress in wake of the financial crisis is paid for and run by Congress.”
“In fact, much of the website of the House Financial Services committee, which was instrumental in passing Dodd-Frank — albeit under Democratic leadership — appears to be dedicated to just how bad the law is.”
Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel (D) “has dropped his honorary chairmanship of the Obama campaign to help raise big-dollar contributions so that Democrats can compete with what is emerging as a clear GOP fundraising advantage this election cycle,” the Washington Postreports.
“While insiders say Obama expects to have enough money to compete, there is growing fear about the down ballot effect of the GOP money edge. Republicans surpassed their ambitious fundraising goals by taking advantage of new campaign finance rules and new anger among ideological and business donors.”
Glenn Thrush reports in Obama’s Last Stand that Emanuel had been pushing Democrats behind the scenes to set up a Super PAC to compete with the GOP.
A new Pew Research survey finds the public paid far less attention to this year’s Republican convention than it did four years ago. Just 37% say they watched all or some of the Republican convention, down from 56% in 2008.
More troubling for Republicans: 20% of those who watched cited Clint Eastwood’s speech as the convention highlight, while just 17% named Mitt Romney’s speech.
Meanwhile, a new Economist/YouGov Poll finds 93% of those who saw any part of the convention remembered Eastwood’s 12-minute address to an empty chair.
Rick Hasen reports that a unanimous Ninth Circuit panel “has issued an order which will have the effect (barring any Supreme Court action) of allowing Nevada voters to vote, as they have in the past, for “None of the Above” on races on the ballot, including the presidential race.”
“Politically, this ruling hurts Romney — who does not want protest voters in Nevada who dislike Obama to have another avenue to express dissatisfaction on the ballot.”
Rep. Yvette Clarke (D-NY) went on the Colbert Report last night where she contended that the Dutch continued the practice of slavery in Brooklyn in 1898.
Of course, as the Politicker notes, the Dutch “lost control of its colonies in the area to England in the 1674 Treaty of Westminister. Also, the Thirteenth Amendment to the U.S. Constitution officially outlawed slavery in 1865.”
BuzzFeed: “The switch into prime time marked a Democratic effort to run two parallel conventions: One hard-edged pitch to the party’s base; and one broad, warm appeal to swing voters. The beginnings of Tuesday’s convention were marked by fiery, shouted denunciations of Mitt Romney’s wealth and and by relentless warnings about Republican views on women’s health and quips like former Ohio Gov. Ted Strickland’s: ‘If Mitt was Santa Claus, he’d fire the reindeer and outsource the elves.’ The program swerved when prime time hit and broadcast viewers arrived, however, quickly becoming conciliatory and emotionally warm, closed by Michelle Obama’s personal speech.”
“And that split in messaging — structured around the different audiences of cable and broadcast television — reflects the Obama campaign’s basic challenge: They must re-animate a party base whose interest and engagement have faded since 2008, and who they believe are watching the convention closely… and they must answer a week-long Republican effort to court the less-engaged swing voters in Ohio and Virginia who will ultimately decide the election, and who will come across the convention, at best, for its hour of prime time.”
First Read: “While the 10:00 pm ET hour in primetime was soft (with the Michelle Obama and Julian Castro speeches), the rest of the evening — taken as a whole — was a pounding of Romney. And it was the greatest hits, some of which Republicans will claim were below the belt: Swiss bank account, tax returns, pioneers in outsourcing, references to Bain layoffs. Even the video tribute to Ted Kennedy was an uppercut to Romney, which led to RNC Chair Reince Priebus to express his disgust for using Kennedy from the grave in an attack.”
A new Quinnipiac poll finds that while 58% of New Jersey voters watched Gov. Chris Christie’s (R) keynote speech at the Republican National Convention, only 22% of voters say it makes them think more favorably of the governor, whose 53% to 42% job approval rating is barely changed.
The latest Economist/YouGov poll finds Mitt Romney gained little ground on President Obama following his party’s convention last week.
In fact, Romney’s one-point edge last week is now a one-point Obama lead: 47% of registered voters say they will vote or are leaning towards the president; 46% are leaning towards supporting Romney.
Los Angeles Times: “When Bill Clinton takes his star turn Wednesday night at the Democratic National Convention, it will be another step on a remarkable climb back to the pinnacle of American politics. He will be opening a new chapter in a fraught relationship with President Obama — one that was strained four years ago, has since been mended and could well influence the outcome of the November election.”
“And if everything goes the former president’s way, it could conceivably lead to another Clinton winning the White House in 2016. Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton is not on the premises, in keeping with the diplomatic tradition of steering clear of partisan politics, but her husband’s ubiquitousness here would certainly come in handy during any future presidential try by her.”
Steve Kornacki: “It will be a triumphant moment for Clinton, a powerful affirmation that his latest improbable political comeback is complete.”
“You need to focus your decision-making energy. You need to routinize yourself… Nothing comes to my desk that is perfectly solvable … Otherwise, someone else would have solved it. So you wind up dealing with probabilities.”
— President Obama, in an interview with Vanity Fair.Explore posts in the same categories: Candidates, National, Politics