Obama Has Lead in Ohio

A new Gravis Marketing poll in Ohio shows President Obama leading Mitt Romney by four points in the very important swing state, 47% to 43%.

In the U.S. Senate race, Sen. Sherrod Brown (D) tops challenger Josh Mandel (R), 47% to 42%.

Obama Ahead in Florida

A new SurveyUSA poll in Florida finds President Obama leading Mitt Romney by four points in the presidential race, 48% to 44%.

In the U.S. Senate race, Sen. Bill Nelson (D-FL) leads challenger Connie Mack (R), 47% to 36%.

Romney Well Ahead in Arizona

Despite some early indications Arizona might be in play in the presidential race, a newPublic Policy Polling survey finds Mitt Romney with a solid lead over President Obama, 53% to 44%.

In the U.S. Senate race, Jeff Flake (R) edges Richard Carmona (D), 44% to 43%.

Romney Leads in Virginia

A new Gravis Marketing poll in Virgina finds Mitt Romney ahead of President Obama, 49% to 44%.

In the U.S. Senate race, George Allen (R) leads Time Kaine (D), 48% to 43%.

Ryan Running Ads for Re-Election

Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) “plans to begin airing ads in Wisconsin as he asks voters to elect him to an eighth House term that he hopes to never serve,” the AP reports.

“The Ryan congressional ads start in the same week as presidential ticket mate Mitt Romney’s commercials went on air in Wisconsin, although the cost for the two sets of ads are drawn from different campaign accounts. Wisconsin law allows Ryan to seek both offices simultaneously but only serve in one if he wins the pair.”

White House Declines Meeting with Netanyahu

The White House declined Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s request to meet President Obama during a UN conference in New York at the end of the month, Haaretzreports.

“The White House’s response marks a new low in relations between Netanyahu and Obama, underscored by the fact that this is the first time Netanyahu will visit the U.S. as prime minister without meeting the president.”

Panetta Seeks Prosecution of Navy SEAL Author

Defense Secretary Leon Panetta told CBS News that revelations in a retired Navy SEAL’s new book, No Easy Day: The Firsthand Account of the Mission That Killed Osama Bin Laden, “could put future operations in jeopardy and suggested that the writer should be punished for writing the best-seller.”

Said Panetta: “I think we have to take steps to make clear to him and to the American people that we’re not going to accept this kind of behavior.”

Why the Economy Might Not Sink Obama

Ezra Klein: “This year, the major economic indicators are headed in the right direction, albeit slowly. We’ve been adding jobs, though not enough. We’ve been growing, though not particularly fast. We’ve seen the unemployment rate drop, though partially because workers are leaving the labor force. All in all, it’s not an impressive record. But it’s weak growth, not a new recession. And the political valence of that weak growth is unusually hard to discern, as voters continue to place more blame for our current economic troubles on George W. Bush than on Barack Obama.”

Has Romney Already Lost the Debates?

Zeke Miller notes that Mitt Romney’s campaign doesn’t seem interested in downplaying expectations for the all-important debates next month with President Obama.

“Romney has devoted at least four days off the campaign trail since the GOP convention for official debate prep, campaign aides said, and has held ad hoc strategy and briefing sessions since shortly after becoming the nominee… The Romney campaign has chosen simply to exude confidence about the upcoming contests — an attempt to counterbalance the gloomy mood set by Obama’s post-convention polling bounce, talking at length about Romney’s preparation, something the White House has done not at all.”

Said an aide: “We’re going to be ready — very ready to face the president and we’re going to win.”

What’s Behind Obama’s Fundraising Surge?

The Week has three theories.

Boehner Warns of Fiscal Cliff

House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) voiced concern “that a divided Washington may be unable to avoid a looming ‘fiscal cliff’ at the end of this year that could push the country into a recession,” Reuters reports.

Said Boehner: “I’m not confident at all.”

Inside a Broken Political System

Jon Ward says that, “If you’d like to feel ill, read Bob Woodward’s new book, The Price of Politics.”

“Woodward is meticulous, as usual, and partly because of his attention to detail, the middle section of the book — with its endless descriptions of meetings, mind-numbing budget figures and constant gridlock — will make you want to bang your head against a wall.”

“But the arcane and complex subject matter is only merely confusing. What makes the book depressing is the inability of leaders in Washington, starting with President Barack Obama but also including top Republican and Democratic lawmakers in Congress, to look beyond their own political fortunes and forge an agreement when the nation’s fortunes were so clearly at risk.”

Booker Readies Challenge to Christie

Delegates who attended the Democratic convention last week tell Politico that Newark mayor Cory Booker (D) is positioning himself to run against New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie in 2013.

Obama Will Likely Raise More Than Romney

Mother Jones: “The president, despite his own warnings, will almost assuredly raise more money than Romney this presidential election. Obama and the Democrats have now raised $689 million this election cycle. Romney and the GOP have banked $613 million. Obama, who like Romney rejected public funds for the 2012 election, is on track to match or beat his record-setting haul of nearly $750 million in the last election, but will likely fall short of the $1 billion once suggested by anonymous Democrats.”

“As it now stands, Romney needs to raise $129 million more than Obama over the next two months to come out on top. If the 2008 election is any indication, Romney will need a miracle to make that happen.”

Life in the White House

Michael Lewis interviews President Obama for Vanity Fair:

“The first night you sleep in the White House, you’re thinking, All right. I’m in the White House. And I’m sleeping here. There’s a time in the middle of the night when you just kind of startle awake. There’s a little bit of a sense of absurdity. There is such an element of randomness in who gets this job. What am I here for? Why am I walking around the Lincoln Bedroom? That doesn’t last long. A week into it you’re on the job.”

Bossip: The president’s secret rules for Sasha and Malia.

Obama Plays His Advantage on National Security

Politico reports how the Obama campaign has been targeting Mitt Romney on national security.

“Romney — whose convention speech didn’t include a salute to the troops or a reference to Afghanistan, where about 75,000 Americans are still at war — is getting hit almost daily now by Democratic attacks that he is wobbly and therefore untrustworthy on national security. It’s the same critique Republicans used to undermine Kerry to devastating effect eight years ago — and the Obama campaign plans to use the run-up to the presidential debates to make a major issue of Romney’s surprising convention stumble.”

BuzzFeed notes that for the first time in a very long time, a Democratic presidential candidate has a clear advantage on national security issues.

Quote of the Day

“This election is 2004. In 2008, Barack Obama won 365 electoral votes, but I want everyone to remember what percentage of the popular vote he got: Barack Obama received 53 percent of the popular vote. That means 47 percent of Americans voted for someone else.”

— David Simas, head of polling and focus group research for the Obama campaign, quoted by the Boston Globe.

Remembering the Lehman Collapse

First Read: “While we’re focused on today’s remembrance, don’t lose sight of another anniversary this week — the Sept. 15, 2008 collapse of Lehman Brothers. It’s worth noting that the retrospectives we might see of that anniversary could further the narrative that the Obama campaign and Democrats want to tell: that the country is better off from four years ago beginning on Sept. 15, 2008. It’s also an opportunity for third-party validators to talk about the deep hole the country was in from 2008 to early 2009. Now conservatives and critics might use the anniversary to examine TARP’s effectiveness and to make the case that Wall Street is better off than Main Street. But overall, 9/15 advances the narrative of the U.S. economy’s dire shape four years ago.”

Romney’s Growing Enthusiasm Problem

John Podhoretz says the Romney campaign is “too intent on winning over the small batch of uncommitted and independent voters by saying absolutely nothing that might possibly offend them. The problem with that strategy is a) it means he doesn’t say much, and b) it does nothing to stimulate the enthusiasm of those already in his corner.”

Romney Flailing

Charlie Cook: “It is becoming clear that if President Obama is reelected, it will be despite the economy and because of his campaign; if Mitt Romney wins, it will be because of the economy and despite his campaign.”

“The Romney campaign made the extraordinary decision to not try seriously to connect their candidate with voters on a personal level until their convention. As dubious as that decision was, they were rewarded by having a convention shortened by a day due to a hurricane, then compounded the error of waiting until the convention by putting much of what was most needed to be seen in the 8 and 9 p.m. hours, when the only viewers would be C-SPAN fans. Wow! The biographical film and the testimonials of people whose lives had been touched by Romney were powerful, necessary, and largely unseen.”

First Read: “In boxing, you know one fighter is trailing in points when, in the final rounds, he throws everything he can to land a knockout blow against his opponent. The same is largely true in presidential politics. And so yesterday while campaigning in Ohio, we saw Mitt Romney and his team try to throw the kitchen sink at President Obama.”

Laura Ingraham: “If you can’t beat Barack Obama with this record, then shut down the party. Shut it down. Start new, with new people.”

Obama Way Ahead in Washington

A new SurveyUSA poll in Washington state finds President Obama continues to hold a big lead over Mitt Romney in the presidential race, 54% to 38%.

Explore posts in the same categories: Candidates, National, Politics

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