POLITICAL WIRE’S HEADLINES – 9/20

Voters React Negatively to Romney’s 47% Remarks

A new Reuters/Ipsos poll finds that 43% of voters viewed Mitt Romney less favorably after an excerpt of the now famous hidden camera video was shown to them online. In addition, 59% said they felt Romney unfairly dismissed almost half of Americans as victims.

Gallup poll also finds Americans had a more negative than positive immediate reaction Romney’s comments with 36% saying they make them less likely to vote for him, 20% saying the remarks make them more likely to vote for him, and 43% say the comments won’t make a difference.

 

Latest Swing State Polls

Here are the today’s swing state polls, updated as needed throughout the day:

A new USA Today/Gallup Poll of twelve swing states shows President Obama leading Mitt Romney by just two points, 48% to 46%

Colorado: Obama 48%, Romney 47% (Quinnipiac/CBS News/NYT)

Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 44% (Fox News)

Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 42% (Fox News)

Michigan: Obama 52%, Romney 44% (CNN/ORC)

Pennsylvania: Obama 50%, Romney 41% (Morning Call/Muhlenberg)

Virginia: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (Quinnipiac/CBS News/NYT)

Virginia: Obama 49%, Romney 46% (We Ask America)

Virginia: Obama 50%, Romney 43% (Fox News)

Wisconsin:Obama 51%, Romney 45% (Quinnipiac/CBS News/NYT)

Wisconsin: Obama 54%, Romney 40% (Marquette Law School)

 

Extra Bonus Quote of the Day

“On Monday mornings when I get up, I get up about 4:30 to catch a flight to come back up here. And I’ve noticed that I have an attitude problem, I don’t want to come anymore. And the reason I don’t want come anymore is because we’re not doing anything to address the real problems that are in front of our country.”

— Sen. Tom Coburn (R-OK), quoted by ABC News on the Senate floor.

 

Brown Refuses to Say Whether He Still Supports Romney

Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) refused to say whether he still supports Mitt Romney for president, The Hill reports, just a day after he distanced himself from Romney’s now famous “47 percent” remarks.

However, a spokesman later told BuzzFeed that Brown does support Romney.

 

Outside the Circle

The DNC released a brutal compilation of news coverage of Mitt Romney’s 47% remark captured by a hidden video camera.

See more…

 

It’s the Opportunity Cost, Stupid

Blake Zeff correctly points out that while the hidden camera video is damaging, the real problem for Mitt Romney “is the waste of a full week and counting, spent explaining and repackaging his own statements and insisting nothing’s wrong with his campaign.”

“The opportunity-cost is unaffordable for a candidate who’s primed to lose this election…. As of last Tuesday night, Romney had just under eight more weeks — approximately fifty-four days, if you discount Election Day — to make his case to voters. Since then, the campaign has been consumed by his ill-considered Libya comments, Campaign in Disarray process stories and his ‘private’ remarks about 47 percent of the country (followed, naturally, by more Campaign in Disarray stories).”

“Whether any of these stories actually changes any voters’ minds about the candidate, the fact is that they’ve essentially consumed all the media bandwidth on seven days out of the 54 days left, during which time Romney was not making an argument for his candidacy.”

 

Obama Opens Up Wide National Lead

A new Pew Research survey finds President Obama now leads Mitt Romney nationally by eight points among likely voters, 51% to 43%.

“Not only does Obama enjoy a substantial lead in the horserace, he tops Romney on a number of key dimensions. His support is stronger than his rival’s, and is positive rather than negative. Mitt Romney’s backers are more ardent than they were pre-convention, but are still not as enthusiastic as Obama’s. Roughly half of Romney’s supporters say they are voting against Obama rather than for the Republican nominee.”

 

Baldwin Jumps Into Lead in Wisconsin

A new Marquette Law School Poll in Wisconsin finds Tammy Baldwin (D) has taken the lead over Tommy Thompson (R) in the U.S. Senate race, 50% to 41%.

Last month, the results were reversed with Thompson ahead 50% to 41%.

However, a New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac poll released earlier today found the race tied.

 

Another GOP Candidate Comes Out Against Romney

Sen. Dean Heller (R-NV) became the third GOP Senate candidate taking Mitt Romney to task for his “47 percent” remarks made on a hidden camera video. Heller told Politico he doesn’t “view the world the same way” as Romney.

Said Heller: “You got to understand, I grew up with five brothers and sisters. My father was an automechanic. My mother was a school cook. I just don’t view the world the same way he does.”

Yesterday, Sen. Scott Brown (R-MA) and Connecticut U.S. Senate candidate Linda McMahon (R) criticized Romney for his comments.

 

Obama Voters More Confident

A new Economist/YouGov poll finds 81% of President Obama’s supporters expect he will win in November while just 56% of Mitt Romney voters think their candidate will.

Meanwhile, 83% of those who plan to vote to re-elect Obama say their vote is for him rather than a vote against Romney. In contrast, half of Romney supporters aren’t voting for the GOP candidate, but rather casting a ballot against Obama.

Jackson Selling Washington D.C. Home

Rep. Jesse Jackson Jr. (D-IL), “who has been on a medical leave of absence for three months, has put his Victorian-style townhouse in Washington, D.C. on the market for $2.5 million,” the Chicago Tribune reports.

Jackson recently left the Mayo Clinic where he was treated for bipolar disorder but has not yet returned to his job.

Bonus Quote of the Day

“For all we know, Mitt Romney could be one of those who paid no federal income tax.”

— Sen. Harry Reid, in a speech on the Senate floor today.

See more…

Romney’s Father was on Welfare

BuzzFeed finds an amazing 1962 video in which Lenore Romney talks about why her husband George would be a good governor of Michigan in part because he was once “on relief — welfare relief — for the first years of his life.”

See more…

Kaine Jumps Ahead in Virginia

A new Washington Post poll finds Tim Kaine (D) has opened up a clear lead over George Allen (R) for the first time in their U.S. Senate race, 51% to 43%.

A new New York Times/CBS News/Quinnipiac poll also shows Kaine with a decent lead, 51% to 44%.

Can Romney Overcome His 47% Comments?

The Week looks at four ways he might defuse the crisis that threatens to derail his campaign.

King Maintains Big Lead in Maine

A new Maine People’s Resource Center poll finds Angus King (I) is maintaining a sizable lead over Charlie Summers (R) and Cynthia Dill (D) in the U.S. Senate race.

King leads with with 44%, followed by Summers at 28% and Dill at 15%.

Democrats are Actually More Unified

The Economist: “Historically it has been the Democrats, not the Republicans, who were viewed as a loose collection of interest groups rather than a cohesive movement. (Hence Will Rogers famous joke: ‘I am not a member of any organized political party. I am a Democrat.’) If you went to the parties’ conventions, it was clear from the delegate demographics that the GOP is still more culturally cohesive than the Democrats. Republicans are basically one group — suburban and rural white Christians who are mostly middle class and wealthy — while Democrats are a disparate bunch.”

“But ideologically, and in terms of their economic interests, the Democrats are actually more unified.”

5 Reasons Romney Can Still Win

The Week puts together five signs for Mitt Romney and his supporters to feel optimistic about their chances in the November election.

 

Quote of the Day

“You always have to assume, and I know this better than anyone, that anything you do in public life will catch up with you.”

— Former Rep. Mark Foley (R-FL), quoted by WPTV, commenting on the Romney hidden camera videos.

 

Does Romney Lack Political Skills?

Amy Walter: “Almost every candidate has a rough patch. But, the ones that pull out of them have one thing in common: candidate skill. It’s what got Bill Clinton through Paula Jones and Obama through Jeremiah Wright. Romney, however, just doesn’t have those kinds of skills. A speech, a press conference or series of rallies isn’t going to help. In fact, it’s more likely to hurt. Instead, he’s going to need an event — planned or unexpected — to turn around his fortunes.”

 

Obama Maintains Small Lead Nationally

The latest AP-GfK poll shows President Obama barely edging Mitt Romney nationally among likely voters, 47% to 46%.

Key finding: “The poll results vividly underscore the importance that turnout will play in determining the victor in Campaign 2012: Among all adults, Obama has a commanding lead, favored by 52 percent of Americans to just 37 percent for Romney. Yet among those most likely to vote, the race is drum tight.”

The Reuters/Ipsos poll shows Obama ahead by four points, 47% to 43%.

 

Romney’s Narrow Path to 270

Mark Halperin: “Make no mistake, the President still has a major and vital advantage in the Electoral College. For Mitt Romney to win, he is going to need to triumph in states where he is now behind and even some local Republicans say victory seems a reach. Given recent state public and private polling, it is worth asking: Can Romney get to 270 without winning Ohio or Virginia, two states previously thought of as must-wins, but where Obama seems to have a solid lead.”

Peggy Noonan: “I think there is a broad and growing feeling now, among Republicans, that this thing is slipping out of Romney’s hands.”

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