POLITICAL WIRE’S HEADLINES – 11/28
Jonathan Chait: “How doomed are conservatives? Pretty doomed, if you look carefully at the Pew Research Survey’s close analysis of the youth vote in the 2012 elections. The Republicans’ long-term dilemma has generally been framed in racial terms, but it’s mainly a generational one. The youngest generation of voters contains a much smaller proportion of white voters than previous generations, and those whites in that generation vote Republican by a much smaller margin than their elders. What’s more, younger voters supported President Obama during the last two election cycles for reasons that seem to go beyond the usual reasons — social issues like gay marriage and feminism, immigration policy, or Obama’s personal appeal — and suggest a deeper attachment to liberalism. The proclivities of younger voters may actually portend a full-scale sea change in American politics.”
Idaho Statesman: “A state senator from north-central Idaho is touting a scheme that’s been circulating on tea party blogs, calling for states that supported Mitt Romney to refuse to participate in the Electoral College in a move backers believe would change the election result.”
Marc Ambinder gives five reasons why the conventional wisdom on Hillary Clinton might be wrong.
“If I had to bet, I’d bet that she decides to run, if only because she will feel that destiny and circumstance have put her in the right place at the right time. She may feel that she owes it to young women and those who supported her to finish the marathon of American politics. But she might well decide that her legacy is secure, her popularity is intact, her financial prospects are bright, and her future lies with advocacy from the outside and grand-mothering.”
Possible promotions for U.N. Ambassador Susan Rice and acting CIA Director Michael Morell “remain in jeopardy” after the two officials met with three of their Republican critics in the U.S. Senate regarding the attacks in Benghazi, Libya, the Washington Post reports.
Sen. Lindsey Graham’s (R-SC) reaction best summarized the reaction: “Bottom line, I’m more disturbed now than I was before.”
The Wall Street Journal has a round up of reactions.
Rolling Stone has a good interview with James Carville who marvels that Mitt Romney, “a businessman whose core sales pitch was competent management, entrusted his campaign to second-rate crony consultants who were so divorced from reality that they had him convinced to the bitter end that victory was all but assured.”
He also predicts that the United States could face “a surprising role reversal in 2016: Democratic voters are likely to behave like the GOP base and fall into line behind a pre-anointed candidate, while Republicans will be forced to embrace a centrist agent of change – a Republican version of Carville’s former boss.”
Former Sen. Rick Santorum (R-PA) tells the Weekly Standard that he is “open” to another presidential bid in 2016.
Said Santorum: “I think there’s a fight right now as to what the soul of the Republican party’s going to be and the conservative movement, and we have something to say about that. I think from our battle, we’re not going to leave the field.”
The Week: “The GOP has a long tradition of embracing, and eventually rewarding, its runners-up in the party’s presidential primary.”
Newsweek: “There he was, less than a month ago, browbeating Barack Obama and finally finding his fire. Then Election Day dawned, Ohio was declared, and Mitt Romney waved goodbye to his White House dreams with a shellshocked ‘Thanks, guys.’ And that was that. No ‘You won’t have Romney to kick around anymore’ tirade. No demands for a recount or talk of hanging chads. Sure, he tried to sling a little mud by claiming Obama had bought off Hispanics, but even GOPers called the comment ‘nuts.’ No–by and large, Romney’s fade has been quick and quiet. His last tweet was on Nov. 10. He’s not making the talk-show rounds. Paparazzi are having trouble finding him–and when they do, he’s in the middle of the most yawnworthy of tasks (pumping gas, taking the clan to Disneyland). Clearly the man’s not planning a big comeback.”
David Frum: Paying people to lie to you has consequences.
ABC News has a good backgrounder on Grover Norquist’s tax pledge, the short document which looms large over the fiscal cliff negotiations.
“Known in Republican circles simply as ‘The Pledge,’ the Americans for Tax Reform (ATR) Taxpayer Protection Pledge has steered GOP tax policy for decades, applying pressure to any candidate, lawmaker, or president who would raise taxes. If tax rates aren’t at stake, the pledge is equally unforgiving to those who would limit deductions, even as a tradeoff, as Republicans are now being asked to do by Democrats and President Obama.”
The Week: Will Republicans regret it if they dump Grover Norquist?
Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush (R) met with a group of his former staffers at a Washington, D.C. hotel, National Review reports.
“Bush, a potential 2016 presidential contender, spent an hour in the hotel’s Cannon room, reminiscing and entertaining questions about his political future… Neil Newhouse, Mitt Romney’s campaign pollster, was at the meeting, as were several veteran Florida operatives.”
Joe Conason: “Jeb’s business dealings may well prove an insurmountable obstacle to a national candidacy, just as Romney’s business career became excess baggage for his presidential campaign. Known today only as another Bush brother, Jeb must be introduced to American voters. And among the first things they are likely to learn about him is the string of borderline business deals that built his original fortune in Florida real estate, which began three decades ago.”
President Obama “plans to try to ratchet up public pressure on Congress to accept his ideas for resolving the looming tax-and-spending crisis with a series of events at the White House and on the road this week,” the New York Times reports.
First Read: “While Team Obama is beginning to increase its activity as we get closer to the fiscal cliff deadline at the end of the year — we learned yesterday that Obama chatted over the phone with House Speaker John Boehner on Saturday (along with Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid) — the reality is that everyone is going to run in circles over the next couple of weeks. Why? Because Washington typically needs the pressure of a deadline to get things done. There’s more of a chance for getting a deal in mid to late December. That’s just the nature of how this process works. And by the way, it’s what the negotiators themselves know. All of them have privately expressed an interest to hit the fast forward button on the DVR and simply get to the end game.”
The Economist: “The door is open to a deal; the hard part is walking through it.”
As Ambassador Susan Rice prepares to meet with GOP senators today to discuss the administration’s handling of the attacks in Benghazi, Libya, a new CNN/ORC poll finds 54% disapprove of the White House’s actions.
However, 54% also do not believe that the administration purposefully misled the public.
A new Quinnipiac poll in New Jersey finds 95% of voters think Gov. Chris Christie (R) did an “excellent” or “good” job responding to Hurricane Sandy.
Christie now holds a sky high 72% to 21% approval rating.
Meanwhile, a new Rutgers-Eagleton poll shows 59 percent support Christie’s re-election for Christie while 32% oppose him. In a possible match up, Christie leads Cory Booker (D) by 19 points,, 53% to 34%.
Private talks between President Obama and top congressional leaders in search of a deal to avoid the year-end “fiscal cliff” are accelerating, the Washington Post reports.
Obama telephoned House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D-NV) over the weekend, “in a sign that high-level negotiations are advancing with only weeks to go before an automatic series of spending cuts and tax hikes starts to hit nearly every American.”
Meanwhile, the Wall Street Journal reports Obama “is ramping up the White House’s postelection effort to generate public support for his preferred package of tax increases and spending cuts.”Explore posts in the same categories: Candidates, National, Politics